BoTF XIII.1 Grave Digging and Filling Day Six (Final Day) Evil Win

But we’re looking at 2 individual incidents, 2 individual possibilities. Not a collective. Since we, ourselves, do not know Jake’s own alignment. And Jake is biased to claim Good

No, but Jake knows his own alignment. So the alignment of the other Traveller is still just 50-50.

From his viewpoint

Granted, but if there is a probability that at least one traveler is evil, and you (me) know that I’m Good, then there’s a Higher probability that Mountain X is Evil (Since you [again, me] don’t need to account for both the odds of evil traveler existing and, importantly, it being a specific player)

your explaining this like it’s rng

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The chance of 2 individual possibilities happening is equal.
IIRC it’s like 2:1 Town:Minion team

So the odds of each of you being town individually is 67% (rounded)

If we were looking at collective then it’d be 4/9, about 44.4%

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i’m not sure if these hosts are running it this way but iirc in XII the storytellers chose it to help with balance?

could be mistaken though

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To be fair, there is a chance that the hosts decided which players got which roles

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In any case, Mountain X needa die because if there’s an evil traveler, it’s them.

Would it be angleshooting to consider which Demons and Minions share the strongest synergy with either Deviant or Barista, and use that to judge their alignments?

No not really

No deminion has synergy with Deviant, unless it’s like… anti-synergy

But it likely wasn’t accounted for

tnaiveD - if another player is funny today, kill them

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wouldn’t it be if another player isn’t funny

well if the deviant isn’t funny they pewish anyway owo

Are you the court jester, Mistyx?

Misty, you are being god awful. Please start churning out dead memes from 4chan in 2011

yeah this is for stealing deviant

The fact that Mist stole deviant and isn’t doing it justice is MUCH funnier.