4 kills cannot happen without 4th kill being convert on Eli.
Assassin can do 2 kills
Baron can do 2 kills
Cult can kill only 1 person
1 kill comes from King.
Unless you think there is Inquisitor around, who guessed one of the flips (none of them claimed), 3rd kill comes from a convert on Eli.
Ergo - scum has 2 people, not 3.
Ergo - you cannot have scum majority today, even with NE.