So you don’t necessarily need the 1MT weaken as well, then
Hippo interferes Duck/Shell/Charlotte, we put 4MT + 3MTx3 on Skarlight, Magnus removes 2MT from Skarlight, then 3MTx1 on Empty Shell?
That’s only one kill tonight
I could also put my 3MTx1 on Sunflower pvz in case Chomps was telling the truth about having taken 8 damage
Bystander (3 MT x 2), Marluna (3 MT), May (3 MT).
They’re probably just expecting this? It’s fine.
I don’t think we can kill Marluna and somebody else as well tonight.
Wait what about Skarlight’s shot then. I can weaken Skarlight?
May 3MT shot #1: Skarlight
May 3MT shot #2: Empty Shell
Sadist 4MT shot + 1MT weaken: Skarlight
Hippo 3MT shot: Skarlight
Magnus 3MT shot: Skarlight
Hippo 2MT strengthen: Sadist
Hippo interfere: Charlotte/Duck/Empty Shell
Magnus 2MT weaken: Medal
This means that:
Duck and Empty Shell cannot attack Charlotte
Medal has -2MT if attacking Charlotte
Skarlight has -1MT if attacking Charlotte
Sunflower pvz shouldn’t attack Charlotte
Gabriel should be noise
I have an outline drafted. However.
Magnus standard shot (3 MT): Skarlight
Weaken: Skarlight
May standard shot (3MT): Sunflower
May standard shot #2 (3MT): Skarlight
May NPC shot (4MT): Skarlight
Hippo standard shot (3 MT): Skarlight
Hippo interception: Charlotte (Magnus) / Duck (Jane) / Shell (Bystander)
I’m attacked by Skarlight, Childe and Chomps at worst… which is nine damage, rendering the damage reduction pointless. More realistically, I’m attacked by only Skarlight…
If Bystander is Medal, that gives more insight into what’s happening. So having me weaken Medal is actually more useful for informational purposes, by the damage count.
Sunflower dies, Skarlight dies…
If Bystander is Medal and I reduce Skarlight’s damage, that’s seven damage at most. So Skarlight has the highest risk/reward here, depending on the 50/50.
If you weaken Medal, I can weaken Skarlight
If you think it’s more useful to save it, feel free. I don’t know how helpful the damage reduction really is.
You’re so careless with your own life!
It’s a straight 50/50 situation - Skarlight definitely attacks once, Medal has a 50/50 chance of attacking twice
Tomorrow, if we all live, I’m just going to double Hippo’s standard attack, so we’ll sweep again with the same twenty-one damage. Even if I die and you both live, that’s twelve damage. You don’t need to weaken Bystander in advance. Just murder Chomps.
So I guess they’re =EV. Just a risk/reward swing
If you’re confident you can make it, I’ll save the 1MT weaken, then.
You’re at full health, right? 9 damage still shouldn’t kill
They’re your actions! I shouldn’t need to expect generosity, we’re friends and allies so I should support you!
It’s not a you vs me situation! We’re allies, so for the purposes of EV calculations you are part of me and I am part of you! Damage you take is damage my interests take, because I have full access to use your abilities for our benefit, which is the same thing as my benefit! It’s not generosity, our resources are in one pool!
I expect to be struck by Bystander and Marluna, I’m putting my life on the line. Bystander hasn’t communicated with Childe.
I think Bystander is Empty Shell, but I do not know for sure. Bystander claimed to have heard 3/4 slots claimed that weren’t Chomps way earlier, which was a lie, so I don’t think we can determine whether Bystander is Medal in that way.
I’ll weaken Medal. This ensures Childe doesn’t randomly ruin the plan as it is. You assassinate Chomps, Marluna dies.
At worst, I take eight damage from Chomps/Marluna/Bystander. I cannot take damage from Childe and Bystander at the same time. At best, I take damage from just Marluna, which is three. Any variable damage is solvable.