This is a good summary of my thoughts on the post, to be honest… It’s a fine line between a wolf reaching in an attempt to make a semi-reasonable push and a villager conf-biased to the point where they would… straight up make stuff up to fit their conclusions.
Either way, I maintain that Frog is a good player and I think he has exclusively pushed villagers this game, often for bad reasoning. So while my gut says it’s more likely to be the latter (conf-biased villager), my brain is telling me otherwise.