Kaguya-sama: Love is War Mafia - Game Over - Town & Hitman Win

Would scum Zorvo have any expectation of not being countered by town KP day 1 though. It feels so unlikely and Marl keeps calling him town.

I honestly get why you might find the lack of commitment wolfy and Iā€™ve done the ā€œplaying by poeā€ thing as a wolf (in fact Iā€™ve done it frequently as a wolf) but I currently simply think itā€™s fine because I donā€™t think any of the people in the PoE are more wolfy than the others, I have different reasons for every single player there to be in there and when weighing those reasons against each other I donā€™t actually have a reason to push anyone in particular as the first yeet

Thereā€™s also the fact that you/beancat isnā€™t actually a difference check because the possibility of wolves simply crosskilling on Marl (and Zorvo just being the wolf factional killer) still exists which could make you V/V

okay I finally caught up going to take care of real life things for a bit

Frankly Iā€™d currently kill beancat over you if I had to pick because of the meta reasons I brought up earlier but that meta is somewhat outdated so I donā€™t want to put too much stock into it

VOTE: mollylikesorigami

Eh, placeholder until she gets here to chat with us. If nothing else Iā€™d like her claim today and some form of thoughts on the game.

VOTE: beancat

Obviously the mech reason not to do this is that beancat claimed PR and catbae claimed VT but I feel like the social stuff overrules that and I donā€™t want to keep solovoting molly when it seems evident she isnā€™t coming

Oil and water, we are.

I mean I agree me and beancat isnā€™t a difference check, itā€™s why I stopped voting beancat

I just think that potentially saving me as a misyeet for future days is suspicious yā€™know

Socially I understand the beancat case and was with it, but Iā€™d want all claims out there before feeling good about voting bean.

If we do kill beancat and beancat flips as the town role he claimed then the next kill should be Zorvo or catbae pretty much always because this grouping will contain a wolf almost guaranteed

The only world where it doesnā€™t is a world where someone other than Zorvo and catbae punted their attack into Marl and has been sitting quiet about it which is theoretically possible but just seems unlikely gamestate-wise

If beancat flips mafia then Iā€™d take catbae off the table entirely

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Actually recently i have been told i should stop being so picky about nullish reads so i will renember that here.

I agree that bean and catbae are never aligned and if we are pew pewing i think catbae is more valuable to town if town so sure. Role meta is for losers anyway.

VOTE: beancat

Itā€™s also worth noting that Marl can only be mafia if catbae is a wolf and beancat is town roleblocker who blocked catbaeā€™s kill
If catbae is town or beancat is mafia/not a roleblocker, then the wolves couldnā€™t have missed their kill by any means other than attacking Marl, which they canā€™t do if Marl is groupscum
Thatā€™s why I called him mech town earlier

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Thereā€™s no such thing as ā€œpigeon/Marl w/w orchestrated thisā€ because no one other than beancat has provided a mech claim that would explain the missing wolf kill so itā€™s impossible for marl to not have been the nk target unless beancat is town roleblocker and catbae is mafia
Both of these must be true at once

Otherwise Marl is just town and given the number of conditions that must be met for Marl not to just be town Iā€™m just treating him as an IC

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If bean is scum it also means marluna is probably fine. Especially if scum power.

And suddenly lolā€™s vote on kanave isnt as good.

Jaiden i still think was spewed tho but also she has been super one note this game and its starting to drag on

Assuming jack shoots demi and thats not a hit in bean scum worlds poe is lol/molly/jaiden/zorvo to fill two slots i think? Zorvo really would require me to hate role meta forever lol.

(Also yes i i know i am in everyones poe just talking my perspective)

I should say that based on marlā€™s stuff about the executioner itā€™s possible that demisha boomed me on day 1 but i kind of doubt it, would give it a reread just to see but I think theyā€™ve been solidly town

hopefully jack plays along actually takes the shot so we donā€™t have to worry about it

would be funny if jack is in fact scum and I was on fire day 1 I just kinda doubt that

So, letā€™s talk about three posts that made me think really hard on catbae and made me change my read

I agree with all of these catbae posts about vulgard. This isnā€™t a dismissal of vulgard, I think in my current view he is highly likely to be correct two days in a row on two meta reads, so vulgardā€™s total play is obviously not an issue this game. However this was what I was feeling earlier and why I was trying to teach Vul. Naturally, Vul has a PoE and doesnā€™t care to sort it (which is reasonable) while I am always full of WIM and curiosity so it makes sense that styles would clash and okay thatā€™s all I have to say for now about Vul.

Anyway, catbae has an OMGUS problem. Last night when I was doing due diligence on him and asking questions and going through possibilities he felt worse and worse about me and I was very confused by this and ultimately just thought his answers degraded to the point of ā€˜well this is scum.ā€™ But then I read these posts about Vul, a man clearly town who murdered Kanave with glee and whose deep wolf equity is 0, and it made me realize catbae just really lashes out a lot because there is absolutely nothing to gain here for him as wolf other than just wasting thread space.

So then I started thinking of all of the things catbae has said today that I have found to be pings/come from a potential scum mindset and almost all of them are about people who have been questioning him directly.

So if I adjust my meter for that, catbae is back to just being good to go really. Most of the solving they have done feels to come from a genuine place, I just think they have a ā€˜glass jawā€™ as it were. Plus, it would be remiss of me to not allow a good player to see their eod1 target dead at their feet when it would certainly confirm them town before deciding to vote them out.

It is unfair, but I respect effort and also I donā€™t see the deep wolf path for catbae. If bean is indeed town roleblocker, well, weā€™ll come back here tomorrow.

Given that adjustment for playstyle though itā€™s never catbae today though because outside of that they have felt fine.

Additionally,

Magnus (3): Kanave, catbae, mollylikesorigami

Iā€™ll eat a hat if this is 3/3 scum.

This is not impossible as a partner read I suppose