Kaguya-sama: Love is War Mafia - Game Over - Town & Hitman Win

Gl

VOTE: Kanave

I feel like Kanave flips town but if itā€™s W pretend I never said that

Look at my shoes. Look at the fucking belt. I wear it because I am a badass, not because Iā€™m some kind of gay icon.

NEO!

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Final Day 1 Votecount

Kanave (7): Vulgard, Phraze, Leafia, Jackrito, lol, Jaiden, catbae
catbae (3): thepigeonnyc, Zorvo, beancat
Magnus (2): Kanave, mollylikesorigami
beancat (2): Achromatic, Marluna
mollylikesorigami (1): Magnus
Sleep (1): Marluxion

Not Voting (1): Demisha

5 minutes to contact us for errors.

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reserved for flavor

Kanave was executed.

She was Miko Iino, Mafia Goon.

Kanave

Welcome to Kaguya-sama: Love is War Mafia, Kanave! You are Miko Iino, Mafia Goon.

ā€œBesides, President is the one who brought the manga in! Instead of setting a good example for everyone, youā€™re undisciplined! Do better!ā€

Win Condition: You win when your team controls the execution, or when such control is inevitable.

Night 1 has begun.
The deadline is 2022-08-11T17:00:00Z.

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Day 2

No one died last night.

Day 2 has begun.
The deadline is 2022-08-13T17:00:00Z.

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I have gotten sleep and feel better. Time to play mafia. Before solving, responding to EoD threads.

First: Marl, I was just sheeping catbae on beancat to see what happened.

Jaiden: So one of the ways I had to act differently than normal v achromatic last game was my defense of Leafia. I implicitly gaslit you last game as scum in order to defend her and I successfully won my game by establishing this line and keeping it through the game until the very end. Not to be unkind to Leafia, but she isnā€™t one that needs to be voted ASAP day one to be solved. I figured going into this game, pre-rand mind you, that your play around me would be enlightening to your alignment just on the basis of how you went about your process on me. The fact that you thought I would ever ā€˜missā€™ this intention as either alignment is underestimating my perception.

Late into the day, through tired eyes, I thought perhaps your guise against me was just a leaning into expectations and you could be scum and so I voiced that suspicion. However, reviewing this game during my morning it became clear you are spewed clear by both the flipped wolf as well as my most likely scum suspects. (Spoilers)

As it relates to my claim/tired post where I stepped back for awhile, please donā€™t ever use emotions to read me. I donā€™t AtE as either alignment on principle, and any emotions I might have about the game will largely be NAI. If you thought I was scum before, donā€™t let me being in a bad mood stop you after. It would strip me of my dignity as a mafia player if the best defense I could muster for myself is the fact that I was just feeling burned out yesterday.

Finally, my partner has a rare afternoon off and I am going to be spending a lot of today (calendar not game wise) with her. Iā€™ll probably pop in more in the evening, but otherwise just make sure to notify me in some way if you have questions, concerns, or cool anime gifs to show me. Otherwise I might miss it until I can do a full read through.

I think thatā€™s all I want to say about me, so letā€™s get solving.

Player list:

beancat
lol
Vulgard
Jackrito
Zorvo
Magnus
Leafia
Jaiden
catbae
mollylikesorigami
thepigeonnyc
Marluxion
Phraze
Demisha
Marluna

I need to find 12 town members to join me, let me seeā€¦

Letā€™s start with Leafia, Phraze, and Vulgard for masonry/Murdering a Scum reasons. 9 to go.

Kanave ISO Day 1

Itā€™s wrong of me, but I kind of want to clear Jaiden just based off of this alone lol

Itā€™s wrong of me, but I kind of want to clear Demisha just based off of this alone lol

I will however say this legitimately doesnā€™t feel aligned for Demisha

Unaligned points for Magnus

Unaligned points for Zorvo

Unaligned points for Catbae

More unaligned points for Catbae

Feels out of place for Kanave to go after Jaidenā€™s push on Leafia if they are aligned. You would want to just leave that alone if she is your buddy.

If this is aligned this is excellent theater, but for now Iā€™ll just go town on Jaiden.

Hm. This is a weird post to make about your scum mate in Demisha. Not entirely impossible, but lean unaligned.

Jaiden town part two the remix.

Jaiden town part three

A null read for Molly huh. Noted.

4 it is, thanks Kanave

Thatā€™s it from Kanave. Not much there. Jaiden gets added to the town pile with Catbae, Zorvo, Magnus, and Demisha get a healthy chunk of town equity. Not a lot here, but itā€™s something.

There were three people (unless I missed something) that kanave didnā€™t name. I think I can safely eliminate the scum team of Marluna/Marl/Beancat unless Kanave had herself a fun day one completely ignoring her scum team. Additionally what stuck out to me was that she expressed a null read of Molly which feels slightly partnered considering she took so many other light stances about others, so that could be something.

Moving onto the wagons:

Kanave (7): Vulgard, Phraze, Leafia, Jackrito, lol, Jaiden, catbae
catbae (3): thepigeonnyc, Zorvo, beancat
Magnus (2): Kanave, mollylikesorigami
beancat (2): Achromatic, Marluna
mollylikesorigami (1): Magnus
Sleep (1): Marluxion

Not Voting (1): Demisha

So I am not going to overthink this and just give Magnus a town read that I wonā€™t bother to re-evaluate before LYLO even without any further information. Itā€™s just incredibly rare that scum bus scum all day like this. In addition to the first three people on Kanave already being cleared town, I am extending that to Jackrito who voted early enough when the wagon needed help to be boosted above the fray and ensure it kept momentum.

So the interesting thing about this end of day is there wasnā€™t a lot of movement anywhere aside from Beancat or to Kanave, however what is missing from the final count is that Jaiden/lol/marluna were trying to stir up an Achromatic wagon that was opposing the scum goon wagon. Jaiden is clear, however this puts a spotlight on Marluna and lol for opposing a late wagon on scum. However, I donā€™t think they can be aligned together and here is why.

After they left their vote on me, marluna joined me on beancat and lol went to Kanave. Now if beancat is mafia and is power this ironically looks worse for them because even though they were agreeing to kill mafia it was in favor of a quickly building scum power lynch. On the other hand, if Beancat is town lol will look better for going with the scum lynch (although not cleared, because it is possible for a player who has played over 500 games to do quick calculus and make a bus decision) whereas now Marluna will have joined two town wagons over opting to pick sides at EoD when asked to earlier. So at most there is, from my vantage, 1 scum in the three people who voted me and thereā€™s space to believe itā€™s 0.

If Beancat is scum catbae is 100% locktown. Marluna looks better as well for trying to make that wagon a thing.

My next town clear is going to be marl. There are 0 marl worlds where instead of pushing (assumed) idle town achromatic marl just votes sleep and let kanave go over there. Thatā€™s not a thing. I wonā€™t bother going into more detail here, but if he is ever pushed seriously for whatever reason just review end of day one and realize youā€™re wrong.

Then after that for similar reasons we have catbae who argued against my wagon when he could have easily switched it up and agreed my post was fake and probably successfully have swayed others and saved kanave. Letting kanave go down there was beyond needless as scum. Oh and I just noticed before I voted beancat they were helping to solidify the kanave train so all the better for them. Not a lock just because I think this bus on a mafia goon is possible, but good enough for now.

So now I am down to this poe with these assumptions in mind:

Zorvo
Demisha
Marluna (Not mentioned)
Beancat (not mentioned)
Molly
Lol
Pigeon

So now that I got it down to 3 scum in 7 suspects I can now take content into account for the first time outside of the kanave iso and end of day wagonomics.

lol iso

Feels unaligned

Not an alignment check because lol isnā€™t me but this was my evil plot in morb.

There is also a lazy push on pigeon that vul tried to probe about unsuccessfully. This isnā€™t aligned and also if pigeon is town looks terrible for lol, but on the flipside is clearing if pigeon is a wolf.

I think I believe this is genuine, oft unaligned. Which is now interesting because in my poe I have lol unaligned with 3 of the 6 others

So at this juncture the team is molly/lol/zorvo/beancat if lol is scum AND if I am accurate otherwise.

Likes molly.

Thinks Magnus is ok as well

ā€¦ team is just molly beancat lol or lol is town? Huh. Well this slot is going to be easy to sort given we have power roles this game.

If this is aligned I just appreciate lol so much as a mafia player haha. This ainā€™t it.

He was defending me from marl a little bit before voting me. Hrm. That feels oddly town because if you wanted to set me up in advance you just do it I think. Although maybe scum lol is audacious.

Valid poe to have tbh. I like this.

I think lol has officially run out of viable scum partners or is just audacious as all get out with said partners.

Lol doesnā€™t really know my stance on AtE and the marl partnership thought Iā€™d clearly unhinged town imo. I think given the lack of viable partners in my poe along with their takes being ok all told I am fine putting lol at a strong town lean. Not quite clear but certainly a lot of compelling evidence to suggesting town.

Oh. I missed this. Fair play by lol here. I would have voted me too. I think this is never anything less than a decent townlean and I am probably being conservative here just because I donā€™t know lol or their wolf range, but they come off feeling genuine and just doing their thing.

Zorvo
Demisha
Marluna (Not mentioned)
Beancat (not mentioned)
Molly
Pigeon

Molly had 40 posts. Letā€™s iso her next.

Infamous good until marl rethought it post. I feel like the last sentence is self aware and not sure of my take away.

Kanave and molly both going after jaiden early. Noted.

Calls poe member obv town. I wonder if zorvo is mafia kp lol

So molly attacks Magnus and vul, two town reads. Defends me and zorvo. I think pairing for zorvo/molly can go either way here. Either pocketing zorvo or the point of this big post was to hide that she was attacking vul to protect zorvo in a weird rule of 3 between Magnus myself and zorvo.

Bad look for Molly regardless given current reads though.

Pocketing zorvo, wolf kp. Pocketing zorvo, wolf kp. Choices.

Vul won this won sorry molly lol

This and the follow up made me feel ok about molly but it could be a pocket attempt.

More Magnus attacks

Likes demisha

We shall see

Iirc this was a sheep of me on town. Meh

Worse than lol for sure. No attacks on anyone in my poe I believe. Scum lean for now. Donā€™t believe they mentioned kanave once.

Marluna next

I keep asking myself if zorvo is scum kp and thatā€™s probably a bad sign for zorvo here. Like, this is now two possible partners that feel invested in leaving zorvo alone. But also kanave didnā€™t always take this approach. I will swing back around to this theory later if I have time

More vulgard shade from the poe. Donā€™t like

Shade on bean pigeon and zorvo. Hm.

Hm. No stance when kanave was starting to look in trouble. Will check the timing on thisā€¦

Hm. Feels aligned to kanave and unaligned to beancat tbh

Desperate to save kanave also explains vote progression from killing me to sheeping me although tbf also she listed bean here too.

Not much here. Scumlean

Before zorvo i went back and realized kanaveā€™s one post about zorvo could be partnered easily enough so wolf kp theory still alive and well.

Pigeonā€¦ didnā€™t do much.

Everyone in my poe seems to boo jaiden

Geesh

Pigeon said little. He can be null.

Hrm. Thinking.

Finally someone not treating zorvo like wolf kp lol. This reads unaligned.

Same here

Probably correct observation here

Their interactions (zorvo) feel genuinely annoyed.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/1274?u=achromatic

Great defense of Magnus from me. If scum a job well done tbh.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/1287?u=achromatic

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/1296?u=achromatic

Even if wrong a mindmeld is s positive sign tbh.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/1322?u=achromatic

Unaligned.

Hm.

Oops. I think my final vote sucked for all but wagonomics purposes lol.

Town lean for beancat.

Demisha

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/89?u=achromatic

Seething jaiden trolling haha. Itā€™s a theme.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/174?u=achromatic

Zorvo is wolf kp rising up the charts as more people poe say things that would keep him alive to shoot people.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/182?u=achromatic

Solid enough post. 3 for 3 on reads imo

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/276?u=achromatic

4/4

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/282?u=achromatic

Not aligned with zorvo vibes

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/338?u=achromatic

Not aligned with marluna vibes

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/449?u=achromatic

Love this. Feels so uninformed.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/451?u=achromatic

Of thr vul arguments this feels least bad but a swing and a miss all the same.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/455?u=achromatic

Not unaligned per se but best kanave post from poe in awhile hah.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/659?u=achromati

Decent post.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/748?u=achromatic

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/757?u=achromatic

Ok not aligned with zorvo imo

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/800?u=achromatic

Pocketed by thoughtfulness lol

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/809?u=achromatic

Checks out tbh

ā€¦ oh wait kanave scum read. Not wolf probably lol. Possible to soft bus but town lean for sure.

Zorvo
Pigeon
Marluna
Molly

My current scum reads of marluna and molly both treated zorvo like wolf kp and kanave didnā€™t mention them outside of one or two posts. I donā€™t want to read their iso in detail. I will just say scum lean lol

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/1190?u=achromatic

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/981?u=achromatic

Zorvo doomer prediction in roo-ins

ā€¦ although

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/884?u=achromatic

I am able to tinfoil where wolf zorvo thinks no one will listen to him and names two wolves. Though if he is town kp who shoots one of them overnight that would be cool. Even if I am wrong and they flip town it is a pro town shot tbh. We will see I guess.

https://www.fortressoflies.com/t/kaguya-sama-love-is-war-mafia-day-1/2798/868?u=achromatic

Though if town it is incredibly based we came to the same conclusion lol. Actually that equity I will put zorvo in null. Maybe he is having a good town game if my own reads are right and it is just his style thatā€™s bothering me. I think if I didnā€™t feel like multiple suspects were treating him like scum KP in their handling of them this would just be a town lean. More than likely though one way or another he will be resolved mechanically so it isnā€™t worth me worrying about additionally.

Masons who killed scum
Leafia
Phraze

Not a Mason but super killed scum
Vulgard

Town
Marl
Jaiden
Jackrite
Magnus
Catbae

Townleans
lol
Beancat
Demisha

Null
Zorvo
Pigeon

Scum leans
Molly
Marluna

So I started out wanting to find 12 townies and I feel really good about 8. I could tinfoil Catbae a little if Beancat is indeed town but not worth my time most likely. Town leans are also ordered so I feel best about lol in that group of three, mostly because of a seeming lack of viable partners unless I have missed the plot.

VOTE: Marluna

Also I just saw no one died last night, most excellent.

Boom

Achro why would you do that

I embarrassed myself yesterday.

Jesus christ I had to scroll a good 10 seconds before able to get to the bottom of this post

Also hi
I checked who pushed Kanave yesterday and my investigation wound up concluding that I can only award credit to myself because I was the only person actively pushing for this until the wagon swing in the last minute of EoD; Iā€™d give credit to Leafia and Phraze for supporting me on the push but theyā€™re claimed masons so I canā€™t do that lol
At least maybe itā€™ll mitigate any lingering concerns people might have about just accepting them as a mason pair

Speaking of that wagon swing, it briefly made me think the wagon was maybe on a townie (hence the comment at EoD) but the fact it flipped mafia makes me feel a bit better about Jaiden and lol in particular; as catbae and Marluna made the beancat wagon rise in prominence, Jaiden and lol slammed their votes on Kanave which ultimately prompted catbae to vote Kanave as well and secured a mafia death

If beancat is town then I would just lock Jaiden and lol town for this, if wagons were w/w with beancat pr then maybe we can start talking about bussing the weaker role but honestly I donā€™t think itā€™s worth considering at the moment and jaiden/lol are ?probably? just town anyway

Curious why vigs didnā€™t shoot anyone, we might just not have a vig but I really expected at least one death

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We probably have a minstrel.
That would explain the no deathā€¦

So far as I was reading I agreed with most of this but Iā€™d not give jack a 100% clear just for that yet

I have noticed that, although this mafia game has 16 players, I am not receiving 16 upvotes on my posts. Iā€™m not sure if this is being done intentionally or if these ā€œfriendsā€ are forgetting to click ā€˜upvoteā€™. Either way, Iā€™ve had enough. I have compiled a spreadsheet of individuals who have ā€œforgottenā€ to upvote my most recent posts. After 2 consecutive strikes, your name is automatically highlighted (shown in red) and I am immediately notified. 3 consecutive strikes and you can expect an in-person ā€œconsultationā€. Think about your actions.

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