Kittens Game: Combinatorics Mafia - Signups (12/12)

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#21

You were pre-inned, silly

2 Likes
#22

Someone do the math of a day one win if all masons claim

2 Likes
#23

Thereā€™s a imposter among us

1 Like
#24

oh well thatā€™s easy
1 way to guess all mafia, 9 choose 3 possible guesses

so, 1 / (9c3) = 1/84

2 Likes
#25

WAIT! town actually get two days

2 Likes
#26

yep

#27

so if you also consider d2 wins then uh that makes it a bit more complicated because of all the possible guesses

1 Like
#28

ideally town wants 3 no mafia
finding mafia is actually bad if you donā€™t find all of them I think?

1 Like
#29

3/3s are the best, of course, followed by 0/3s and 2/3s, and then 1/3s

2 Likes
#30

1/220.

#31

I canā€™t wait for some wanted posters: dead or alive memes

#32

you mean, in this scenario where all masons claim? or in general

#33

I wonā€™t talk strategy too much pregame cause Iā€™m hosting & donā€™t want to influence things. And Iā€™ve already played the setup and thus have some advantage. But thatā€™s pretty basic stuff so

3 Likes
#34

Well, actually, thatā€™s only the odds of randomly getting the mafia D1. Weā€™d have D2 to figure them out as well.

#35

the best case scenario d1 is a 3/3 mafia
the second best is 3/3 town with no masons in it

3 Likes
#36

Iā€™d argue 2/3 mafia being jailed is higher up.

2 Likes
#37

Agreed; 2/3 immediately guarantees you can also get easy 0/3s later

#38

3/3 means you can do 2/2ā€™s the next day ect a lot easier I think

#39

You donā€™t need to beam up 3 people according to the op

#40

Anyway I have done much pondering and unsuccessful programming but Iā€™ll leave most of the strategy for during the game :flushed:

1 Like