Kittens Game: Combinatorics Mafia - Signups (12/12)

I like the idea of mafia getting, say, the identity of some random VT when the game starts
or some other small similar bonus

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what does the mafoa goon RC look like

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So

1/(3c6)
1 out of 20 in 20 of the 84 scenarios

1/(6×3)
1 out of 18 in 45 of the 84 scenarios

1/(2c6x3)
1 out of 30 in 18 of the 84 scenarios

That’s equal
With
1/20x20/84+1/18x45/84+1/30×18/84

1/84+5/168+1/120

(Sidenote:
168=3x2x2x2x7
120=3x2x2x2x5)

10/840+25/840+7/840 (adding this the chance town wins on the first day (10/840)

Means town has 52/840 (aka 13/120) chance of winning randomly if all mason claims D1.

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As a gacha gamer, those are pretty good odds.

Also
/in

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But you have only 1 pull. (And you can’t buy extra)
So I don’t think gacha is a good metaphor for this.

If you think about it hard enough, gacha is a good metaphor for everything in life.

/in

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/in

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@Eddie Do exactly 3 people have to be jailed/beamed, or can 1/2 people be targeted instead?

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This is a personal attack

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Up to 3 people, not exactly 3 people.

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Does this answer your question?

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So then does that mean good can pick 1-2 people, but mafia must pick 3?

(Also i think you always can choose to beam a mafia as a mafia member.)

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oh you right

/join

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I think mafia acting/beaming N0 might be a good enough bonus for mafia.

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I considered that but an N0 guess is fully luck so IMO what they get should be predetermined
it would be very silly if they started the game with, say, knowing a group with 2/3 masons in it

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It removes the parity of the mafia’s N-1 guess, but they literally have nothing to base their choice.