You are also claiming PR?
Like, sure, the wagon looks really weird, but if I assume it was a straight up save from wolves, then the people doing the saving don’t make sense. At least one wolf must’ve stayed off-wagon in that case.
Thing is, if it’s one person saving and one off-wagon (excluding Squirrel), then one of Flygon/guava is a wolf, and my individual reads on them (which I attempted to reconsider) tell me neither is a wolf.
So like. If Squirrel is a wolf, we are in an extremely cursed game where we had a wolf dead to rights and we pivoted away last-minute.
Flygon wolf doesn’t even make sense with Squirrel in the first place because of the current vote right after “saving.”
So it’d have to be guava + anyone off-wagon.
This is harder than I thought.
Maybe I should apply this rule.
No, I was the first player this day phase to claim Vanilla and then start pushing for others to claim.
Please read my posts friend!
Yeah that’s basically what I’m saying.
Squirrel notice you. Either town or his partner and noticed me and Arctic voting a town and hopped on so he didn’t get voted off.
I mean yeah, that part makes sense and he would definitely do that, but what about the part where him getting saved would indicate guava wolf?
Or no wolves involved at all, which would bring me back to the first two worlds I gave.
Actually, no, it doesn’t. Wazza was trying to push Squirrel through on day 2. It’d have to be exactly Ashlyn and NP if Guava isn’t involved.
Like, ignoring individual reads entirely, here’s how it works:
- Squirrel wolf.
- Was saved at EoD. Either just by town, or by a wolf helping him. It can’t be both partners because one would have to be Flygon and Flygon is currently voting him in MYLO, no reason to do that as W/W just after saving him. This leaves one player who could’ve done this, that being Guava. I am excluding myself from this because I’m town, and I explained earlier why me doing what I did at EoD makes no sense if I am trying to save Squirrel.
- If saved just by town, wolves are offwagon. Wazza can’t be involved because she wanted to kill Squirrel yesterday and she still wants to kill Squirrel now - incompatible with the wolf agenda. This leaves literally just Ashlyn and NP unless Kanave is a wolf (and Kanave essentially hasn’t been playing the game + is the only other claimed PR, so she is most likely just town, I’m now realizing).
- If guava is town, Squirrel’s partners are NP and Ashlyn ~always. If guava isn’t town, it can be either of them and the other town. It should be noted, however, that there was a 2-vote wagon on Guava at the end of that day phase and it had both NP and Ashlyn on it, so some level of distancing was going on. I kinda want to dismiss guava/NP/Ashlyn as an option based on the fact it would mean both wolves piled on the third while the third was voting the top wagon, but wagons have historically been weird and therefore I don’t really want to clear based on wagon formation, moreso based on vote logic if anything.
Sorry but this part is false.
Penguin ain’t ever gonna be a wolf with Guava.
They are pretty obviously never W/W.
Anyway, I GTG now.
Flygon
If it’s so obvious, do tell because I can’t see the obvious.
Ohhhhhhhhhh, you meant Penguin. Okay, I see it.
So, basically, it’s Squirrel/Ashlyn/NP or guava, if Squirrel is a wolf? Squirrel is not W/W with Wazza and not W/W with Flygon, while NP is not W/W with guava. Ashlyn stands out as W/W with anyone at this point except Kanave (and Kanave is a claimed PR, lol).
Thing is, if Squirrel is town then fmpov it’s still Ashlyn, probably. NP not being W/W with guava narrows it down.
Given that, I’d be much more partial to voting Ashlyn here than Squirrel.
Fwiw Squirrel W clears Wazza and Flygon pretty hard, leaving guava/NP/Ashlyn as the last three and guava/NP are not a pair. Ashlyn next, Guava/NP battle it out in f4 then? Ngl, I’d currently vote NP over guava every time, but both of them should be fairly evaluated in that case.
If Squirrel V, most people are on the table. NP/Guava can’t be together, so it’s:
Wazza/NP/Ashlyn
Wazza/Guava/Ashlyn
Flygon/Wazza/Ashlyn
Flygon/Wazza/NP
Flygon/Wazza/Guava
Flygon/NP/Ashlyn
Flygon/Ashlyn/Guava
This is not particularly helpful.
And if I choose to trust Flygon despite him trying to ML Squirrel (if Squirrel’s V), it’s Ashlyn/Wazza every time, with NP or Guava as the third.
It’s always Ashlyn.
I’m convinced your vote is bad regardless of the outcome, because it’s on the wrong player.
Squirrel has a chance of being town. Ashlyn fits into every world.