Also for all my setup speculation bullshit I literally changed from VT to something else last night
some insight into how vulgard was playing the game?
so they start off their debut of an Alana read with a scumread on their opener
more shade, plus pairing with arctic? looks fairly good… vulgard def taking pushing approach to one known packbuddy
vulgard says something like this to possible partner marshal while arctic is also a wolf? arctic and marsh are NOT w/w if it wasn’t obvious before
oh yeah i’ve only read a few posts by alana so far but i think she’s an overlooked slot that likely flips mafia
her opener was weak, and yet it went by completely unnoticed, indicating that wolves didn’t feel the urge to harp on itshe randomly defends arctic here
alana:Yea i don’t see what is scummy about Arctic’s posts. I have had plenty of games where I got scumread for trying to get the game out of fluff phase but then it ironically got the game out of fluff phase just not in the way I intended
which feels like tming his alignment in some way (not caring about the reasons people wolfread him much)
the post i like the most from her iso is her longest one where she gives some reads, but it’s not even that good - it’s just less bad than the others are
a bit less good looking for arctic, but it appears to be in this game vulgard outright took a bussing approach.
This is a moment
i’m cutting alana some slack because some of this can be attributed to playstyle but i do think it’s significantly >rand w so far
alright…
did vulgard die from wolves truly? because they pushed on them alot? did they indeed actually go the bussing route?
/vote alana @Nyarchmage
actually i like this better for the time being
my readlist is largely opposite to this one
i think blade, marl, zori, laser, maaaaaaybe hyena are town
arete has felt fine in the moment
i think thread consensus is wrong on wazza and wazza’s town but i could be wrong on thisi think millium, arctic, and alana have been wolfy
rest is null to varied degrees
there’s one post from squirrel i really disliked but other than that i think squirrel has been fine
oh yeah and kyubey should die for the neut claim i won’t budge on this
? did vul do the rule of three here? are they pushing more wolf mates? id like to hear everyones thoughts.
also i’m almost entirely caught up and it still baffles me that barely anyone has talked about alana
the only player i saw seriously discussing the alana slot was jc and he called her town which i disagree with
more bussing
Arctic:people who have been LHFey so far and would be easy pushes for wolves to make: nutella, Squirrel, nightingale
people who aren’t LHF but have much more beneficial wagons: arctic, wazza
ok but these slots have all been at least addressed itt
alana hasn’t
i like the fact mistyx sussed out alana and i see where she’s coming from re: the “experience level” reasoning; i do agree that for someone with 50 games under their belt alana’s early posting is pretty wolfy
more shade on Alana?
im interested in the fact that vulgard townread a part of Mistys play and then weirdly shaded it but not really used it at the same time after?
rn, i’m looking at arctic/millium/alana, and i’m conflicted on jc - because his push on me is awful, and he’s misrepped players other than me as well, in ways i’m not sure are just ignorance or intentional; also, i disagree with a lot of his reads, and that wasn’t the case in the last towngame of his that i spectated
he seems similar to that game on play and approach, but in terms of what he’s actually saying, i’ve barely liked anything he’s done - which is a problem
once again
another rule of 3? this makes me feel better about millium and arctic by default
unless they are indeed hell bussing the entire wolfteam
Vulgard:marshal/mistyx/min/squirrel/wazza
I’d actually say wolves are here + some combo of arctic/JC/Alana
yes, I do realize JC is pushing people in this group, just different ones than me
more wolves in that poe? arctic/jc both villa? more rule of 3 as a treat?
I am more convinced there is a wolf in that small poe that was made. im starting to grow more towards the side of marshal wolf now.
alana:I got some notifications but I’m still catching up T.T
is alana your alt or main account?
asking because you’ve implying having played here before but i don’t recognize you
allright
i feel like once this happens, my eyes are going to open wider than ever before, and i will gain new, untold insight into alana’s alignment
oh i replied to alana while talking about her in third person lmao
I feel like this is important but I cant put my tongue on it
Marluxion:this
i’ve seen this post pretty often from wolves playing on a new site
with is i just want some actual content
same with nutella really
and illwei
nutella i feel is gut v but the other two are just nullmild v pings from zori over the reads she’s given but that’s about it
kyubey retracting the neut claim doesn’t do anything for me eitheri think alana’s posting has improved but i haven’t metadived her yet which i should probably do soon
/vote Kyubey @Nyarchmage
so they bussed Alana and then moved to kyubey…
looks good for kyubey?
bussing and then townreading is another option
maybe they just aren’t mainly bussing
maybe they tried to signal in another way
Wisdom:why are you vanity voting Arctic?
I think the dude is mafia and the consensus is wrong
I feel like wolves are in control of the thread and that worries me immenselyI often have this feeling and am correct, especially on day 1, but nobody ever listens to me
I think Arctic is mafia because I haven’t agreed with any of his pushes (I think Arete and Wazza are town), because I don’t think he’s been super villagery (I have high standards for him because I think he’d try hard here as either alignment but as town he’d be an easier townread), and because he called me w/w with windward for me calling her a potential like pocketer, which is what she was trying to do to both me and Arctic in the clonedvitational where me and arctic masoned
Arctic claiming he couldn’t have known what I was referring to is something I don’t believe at all and it felt like a snap response to discredit me; the only pause I have is that he didn’t actually push me harder for it, but started reconsidering my slot instead, which I’m not sure how to feel about. I actually kinda see why he would call my like-pocket statement about WWA W/W, but it feels like a bizarre interpretation coming from him, when he should know I’m stating something that could very well be true; at the very least, it felt openly uncharitable. I probably overstated the importance of that response in my snap reaction earlier, but I do think it’s AI
there’s a part of me that wonders if I just have a terrible handle on the game, wolves are something like Wazza/Wisdom/Arete + a few others, and I’m wolfsiding hard; in that world Arctic would probably be town as well
I feel like I can’t do anything about the wagons, either, because everybody is throwing susses or wolfreads on me for going against the grain - which I don’t think has ever been alignment indicative for me, but I guess people aren’t obligated to know that
if I were to continue with my worldview, I would name people like Marshal/JC/Arctic/maybe some overlooked yet sufficiently loud slots and have been receiving no serious scrutiny but still have made significant pushes on people I townread, like nightingale
marshal/JC are probably not W/W because of how marshal framed her read on me, but both their reads on me have been bad, and I have consistently disagreed with their direction
that said, at this point I’m inclined to just sheep the consensus - and if it’s wrong, I’ll collectively blame all of you for not listening to me, even though I’m trying my best to be towny so I don’t get eternally tinfoiled again like in the last fol invitational
the “don’t get tinfoiled” part didn’t exactly work so far, given the sheer number of wolfreads, wolfleans, and/or w/w pairings I’ve been a part of, so I’m honestly rather tilted but I’m trying not to allow it to affect my gameplay
if you’re still unwilling to pay any amount of attention to my takes, i’ll level with the consensus for a day phase or two, and if you’re wrong, then maybe you’ll listen to me
the legacy of my worldview is this: arete/wisdom/wazza all town and this direction is a huge mistake. JC/marshal has a wolf but probably not together. arctic is probably a wolf, nightingale/moonwink probably contains at least one because I think both have been decidedly not towny and yet have caught no scrutiny (watch this be deemed “denying townreads on villagers” again).
Alana/kyubey/is are the most noteworthy lowposters because they genuinely haven’t done much to convince me they’re town; alana is the closest to achieving that, but I still think their ISO so far is within the wolfrange of someone with 50 games of experience. I still haven’t metadived Alana because I kept getting distracted by the people here (for obvious reasons) and I later got too tired to think about this game. I’ll do that today.
laserpointer/millium/hippo/bladescape/marl/probably nutella/maybe mistyx still town. wwa I’m currently still conflicted about, I think she could swing either way, but I like the fact she actually seems to be listening to me. could be a pocketing wolf, could just be a villager, I can’t tell for sure.
squirrel and illwei. illwei I think should be within both her ranges, while squirrel’s wolfrange I simply don’t know. squirrel’s play has been unimpressive, but I’ve seen him get pushed for being unimpressive when he was town. it’s possible he’s just another wolf target.
if this post doesn’t convince you I’m town and trying to solve the game, then I don’t know what will. I joked about having an infinite wolfrange earlier, but I don’t actually think it’s infinite.
if you have any questions, ask. for now, i’m still going to keep my vote on arctic. it’s possible that i’m embarrassingly wrong and me projecting these amounts of confidence has been a colossal, thread-derailing mistake; it’s possible that the consensus is correct and I’ve been actively wolfsiding. in that case I will take a fat L and I will never project confidence again because it simply has never worked for me.
the only reason I’m projecting such confidence now is because I have a sinking feeling about the consensus being wrong, particularly since I haven’t agreed with any cases about the three main suspects. so if there’s anything I really want you to remember - especially if I’m right on arete/wisdom/wazza - it’s this post. wolves will probably kill me at some point if I’m right, but not if I’m still a common wolfread, so.
let’s not do this anymore.
I think this entire wallpost is uh
self explanatory and I dont feel like reading it again to acknowledge it
i’m just going to do the alana meta now and probably won’t engage anymore
i still want to kill jc more than anyone atm
“__” meta
did they do this to anyone else?
wwa can be a villager for now
reading alana games rn
this feels .
weh
takeaways from checking alana meta:
- her reads look similar as both alignments. the main difference i found is that she gives fewer early thoughts as mafia, and they’re often centered around defending people / questioning the reads of others, rather than giving reads on people.
- she solves more early on as town. consistently across these games, i had the thought that town alana takes a more active role in solving, earlier. it’s possible that some of this can be attributed to differences between mafia cafe and our site; our site features a lot of posts, especially this game. but alana hasn’t said anything like “there are too many posts,” so i don’t feel like she has a problem with this.
- can’t be read on posting frequency/presence. i found alana’s posting frequency and presence equal as both alignments. i can’t determine if she has a postcount tell, because i haven’t found a way to check people’s postcounts in a game on mafia cafe, but by posting frequency, she seems unpolarized and more dependent on irl than anything. this is my least confident conclusion, but i do still think it applies.
based on these cliffs, i actually think alana’s a wolf here, specifically for her early-game approach. it seems much closer to how she plays as mafia than to how she plays as town.
@alana if something about your play got lost on me while i was checking your posts on mafia cafe, do tell. but i don’t think i’ve missed anything significant, unless it has to do with your long-term play.
what makes you town in this game?
big post on partner
did she do something like this for her other ones? does this mean that this post is another bad look for marissa due to a similarly important framed post towards marshal?
theres still alot of “I read this from Alana” basically and I wanna know if they’ve done this to someone else
Illwei:sadge
i was in watership showdown tho!!!
school of rock is one of my favorite scumgames i played
oh yeah i actually have one more question
do you have literally anything to say about my meta assessment of alana
you just implied you’d played with her before. so you should be able to engage with that
good or bad look? what do u guys think?
does vulgard try and convince villagers that Alana is wolf, or do they try and signal to their partner with this?
anyway, that is over. I have some questions so id like some people to answer and give their takes
after reading this marshal I am fine with killing today, plus arctic looks better and millium looks semi better as well
marl
it’s okay
I know you lied
the game said there was no VT’s
and the game isn’t bastard
nightingale:alana was sitting pretty and in the discussion on the squirrel wagon right up until we cfd’d marsh
the entire wagon except her joined
and she just dropped out fo thread for eodalso she was repping a townread on arete so was voting squirrel, but then when squirrel made a villagery post she showed frustration and said she wanted to move but didn’t go to marshal who she had a light scumread on
she’s managed to just
avoid voting marshal as much as possible
idk
this
yes
this
ty
are you part of spec chat?
I hardclaim flavor ranmilia role town godfather
its clear town and wolves are both down w/ my death I think it’s wrong atp to fight it
if there’s automatic punishment for flavorclaim I hope to absorb it / show that
correct
Part of me wants to leave Marshal until tomorrow
The other part of me is getting SFoL53 nightmarish flashbacks
I just want everyone to know that marshal is clearly trolling here cuz they have zero direction rn
all of the brave soldiers itt calling me mafia
Wazza did you not shoot anyone
truly saying what nobody else has o7
that’s what being one shot means
no hating
no kills
no poison
do you think we had a global roleblocker?
that
would be
uh
i mean
for at least 4 seperate things to simultaniously coincidentally all fail would be equally uh
marshal has done a total of 0 towncore building or Clearing LHF Players
she has not done a single villagery thing this game outside of AtE
alana spew looks godawful for her
alana literally like straight up said shes the same alignment as marshal and yes i 100% believe that was a slip
alana avoided voting marshal at every moment when she definitely could have (also i think squirrel is just town bc of wagonomics btw)
occam’s razor re:mechanics point towards her
why does alana visit v!marshal jsut to 180 her read the next day
the visit would be some sort of frame or like jailkeep/doc to stop a vig shot
but even then… why lol
arete died a martyr and we’re gunna listen to them
clearly she’s added to the game