If you want my take on the NK, it’s partly that Night was more or less consensus town and partly that she might have softed her role or results somewhere that wolves caught onto, or they have a rolecop and realized she was the tracker and needed to die.
It’s also possible her reads were correct but in all honesty I haven’t gone back to look at them yet.
My guess is that scum has been a bit more focused on townies who have been townreading town correctly, than townies who have been scumreading scum correctly, because up until Wisdom’s mech check on Alana, we didn’t really have any thread cohesion on whom to vote or where to look. I think the lack of thread direction is exactly what wolves needed to keep afloat, which is why Marshal was so hard to kill on D1, and was even somewhat hard to kill after Alana flipped. Wolves may have had a part in that, but I still think a lot of that resistance to flipping Marshal came from town.