As I can see by the post count, people aren’t as hyped to play the game and this is turning into a vicious cycle of “hey nothing is going on around here” -----> “I’ll just dissapear”
And I feel like, there’s not alot of posts and it should be ideal like in Vul’s theory that
Less fluff, less posts = More solving capability
But I don’t see it
I think it’s more “scum are just waiting to see if someone fucks up” and “town are too afraid to actually be the one to take a risk and vote”
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The “I am not good enough” prevails
Vuls theory isn’t less posts= more solving
It’s less FLUFF = more solving
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Oops I fluffed badly that’s why the theory didn’t work
I’ll vote first
But if I vote wrong and lose us the game you don’t get to blame me for the loss. I’ve been right literally all game and you all have ignored me. I said frost wasn’t evil and I said gorta wasn’t evil.
At least I’m not afraid to play the game and take a risk
My abbreviated thoughts on this trio:
Hazard
D2 - Main aspects were apologetic tone and underlying (or forefront) panic
D3 - Main aspects are apologetic tone and defensive
Generally reasonable. Don’t think this would be a N1 convert due to the suspicion on the slot. Conclusion: can’t tell if it’s convert. No clue about starting scum possibility.
Marl
D2 - Main aspects were aggressiveness and annoyance
D3 - Main aspects are annoyance and caution
Generally reasonable as well, in a specific way that I don’t think is really fake-able due to the streamlining of the thought process between the extra-chance with the Luminary and now LyLo where getting a specific correct lynch still causes a loss.
Unlikely to be a N1 convert due to the amount of people placing attention on the slot and placing expectations of conversion. Unlikely to be starting scum due to effective thought processes. In hindsight, them calling me out on asking for prior games D1 was incredibly towny because it showed that they were actually thinking about my motivations for asking rather than just trying to ‘prove’ themselves towny.
Ruby
D1 - Main aspects of play were casual play, focused on making a variety of reads rather than specifically fleshing out individual ones. Points to her for not running with the ML on me.
D2 - Slightly more aggressive. Tone consisted of annoyance and a greater focus on prior day’s strongest read. I am willing to call this not W/W with Leafia, and specifically probably either T/W or W/T.
D3 - Tone of annoyance, pulled back aggression on Leafia…
Starting scum equity, defense of me could potentially be a pocket, but in this world them pulling back on Leafia today doesn’t really make sense unless Leafia was converted last night. N1 convert is semi-plausible, but, again, pulling back on Leafia doesn’t make sense here. N2 convert is only plausible in the scenario in which Leafia is Non-Luminary Unshackled trying to stop Ruby from sinking, which essentially means I never want Ruby killed over Leafia here. If this is bad thinking feel free to yell at me in deadchat but it makes sense to me.
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My gut is saying to vote Jarek
His content changed from tunneling d1 to just floating by from then onwards
I’m betting it was because he was converted specifically n1
TL,DR: I don’t want any of Hazard/Marl/Ruby killed today unless I specifically do a deep iso of Hazard and hate it.
I still think Ruby is either town or the Lumiscary
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Either way I don’t think she’s the play
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My gut is telling me to vote Kiiru, Ruby or Jarek
But I don’t know what to do exactly to confirm or disconfirm that the tingling in my stomach is right
I’ve said Lumiscary so many times my phone has replaced luminary in it’s predictive text
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I think Jarek and kii has exactly one evil between them and people are just waiting to see if I pick the wrong one
If I get voted then we lose and I’m not going to let that happen, I would consider following my lead and voting one of Ruby, Hazard or Leafia. I can make cases for all three being converts.
Ok go
Explain to me the world where spew nuclear weapon leafia is converted
I shall wait
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If Jarek is evil then Ruby, Hazard or Leafia are automatically town because of the current circumstances.
Marl do you think any of these people woulddddddd be town?
Leafia has been floundering this entire time, Hazard had the EOD that was so suspicious it’s TWTBAW but actually is just a wolf and Ruby has been under the radar for the most part and I dislike that