Stellaris: Apocalypse Mash - Day 4 (12/30)

Spreadsheeting time.

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may might be mafia after all

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Many people are saying this

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HATED for my true beliefs

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Honestly… I half think that based on shots that Rose is a decent wolf candidate.
It’d explain why Otter wanted to join in on the shot on Neil so much if a teammate was at risk of dying potentially without assisting.

ash is always mafia probably

i dont trust baker one bit but sure u dont need to kill him immediately

i dont trust clara

i dont trust sabi

maybe i shouldnt trust the may townread

i dont trust both insom and roseredwitch, maybe 1 wolf in there

i trust zug, brad, kiiruma (if baker town), treasure, cape(?)

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I could not make EoD yesterday due to being in “car” and motion sickness so I am. Very behind. All mt reads feel like they’ve been transported in a time capsule from D1. Pleas give me some more time

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Also I colored tutuu/kii green because I believe tutuu to be town 99% of times anyway

If they are mafia then we lose to an early misclear but i doubt they are the last two wolves

I didnt even think about this tbh, but it is the 1st one

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just got answer

Fine, we’ll leave Baker and Tutuu/Kiiruma alive.
What about Phoenix? Otter was protecting them significantly early on.

I will say the one world I am terrified of, which is that Tutuu is a godfather (Appears as good to checks) and I’m just going to be brought along for the ride due to being a source of misclear now.

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i would say 8 minimum because this ITA system is in our favor compared to MU ITA system

even given guava’s role?

It’s prob 7 or 8 total.
Because average is 3:1 town:non-town ratio.

7 with a neut maybe(?)

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oh also
@Treasure

is this a joke or…

I’d say 7, partly because we’re in trouble otherwise and partly because mafia seems to have a lot of KP.

this makes sense actually

tutuu
Zugzwang - prolly cleared
Sneakyphoenix - bad interactions from otter’s side on them imo and i don’t like their focus on mech yesterday. think wolves were happy bussing frost, as we saw guava doing. at that point frost had outed a lot of roles and an important one, like the doc
RoseRedWitch - feel like there’s 1 in her / sneakyphoenix, but i really do lean phoenix though. maybe im being stubborn and it’s rose. i doubt they’re both wolves
baker
Treasure
Ash - wolf slank vig prolly
Kiiruma - did the whole posting thing when close to dying that seemed villagery. not much else?
Clara - had the terrible claim and that’s it. also a bad target choice. the role design seems wolfy to me but jury is still out on this one
Someone - had some villagery micromoments but nothing other than that? i’d be careful clearing them but i don’t mind giving them a day
Sadbi - prolly locked villa, put stick and myself in neighbor chat, no reason to do that as wolf
Cape90 - had good posts imo, idk what to make of his role reveal rn
BradLand - slank’d and vote parked a wolf. i doubt he’d be playing it this way offsite in this manner, he’s a pretty avid anti-busser. no reason to bus here and play it the way he’s doing if he’s a wolf
May - other than genshin impact mahjong before gta 6 i have no clue what they ever did

w
ash
sneakyphoenix
may

i feel at least 2/3 here and if it’s just 1/3, i’d prolly start worrying

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means you’re buying time

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