Stratagem-15 FM - MAFIA VICTORY

[Garfooled]

tbh be honest,
I didn’t check what post 334 was
I’m just assuming you’re talking about the one where Arctic calls May on past meta before they “leveled up”

[Garfooled]

@Arctic

your push on garfooled worries me a bit because the premise being mismatched confidence kinda feels like how you pushed me last game when you were mafia. i don’t really think projecting more confidence than you actually have is necessarily wolf indicative in a vacuum, either. like that’s normally how RVS goes for most people, isn’t it? nobody actually has any idea what they’re doing, and most people’s reads don’t extend beyond a slight gutread one way or the other, but nobody actually expresses them in that way - they express them just like any other read. i seemed confident on cait but i’m not, the reality is i had a read on what they had posted so far and yet i recognized i can only be so confident with it given how little i’m working from, but disclaiming to be extremely not confident didn’t feel very useful at that point

Okay no
We are talking about 2 different things

[Psyx]

@Arctic

…how are you trying to make a point of this when the posts I brought up at eod were posted at eod? That doesn’t mean the post where I said garfooled’s only towny posts were at sod is invalid because I made that post before he had made the eod posts…

like yes, before eod i did think he was only towny at sod, but then I saw how his posts at eod could also be towny. and I just checked those posts anyway and they aren’t really saying he’s town, the first is just asking why Luka was doing a strange preflip and the second was saying I don’t think garfooled’s behaviour at eod was scummy

My point is not that “Arctic saying garfooled’s only towny posts were at sod is invalid”, it’s that in a wolf!Arctic + wolf!garfooled world, it would make sense for you to subtly push against a Gar wagon near EOD

[Garfooled]

But yes that’s a mood
I do project confidence as town

@Garfooled

lemme tell u a secret

whispers: “i have no idea what I’m doing”

[Psyx]

@Garfooled

Okay no
We are talking about 2 different things

??? Okay, but are you still saying my timeline of events is wrong?

[Garfooled]

ok im laughing because i am not town in that
this is not a gotcha moment
dont kill me over this!
i was inquisitor
with a Baron as one of my targets
i was PRACTICALLY town

[Garfooled]

@Psyx

??? Okay, but are you still saying my timeline of events is wrong?

no idea
i didnt even see that post until now
i thought you were talking abouit a different May meta post

[Zugzwang]

towny post

[Luka]

@May

Part I don’t want to happen and which will hopefully not happen: they flip wolf and I am immeidtaely executed the next day and flip town

This is implying from tmk that you dont want them to flip wolf, confoosed
Honestly admitting to is is townie imo but like. In this small way is weird?

@May

Which is why I’m so nervous about what happens if guava flips wolf

If they flip wolf its blatently good for us. Even if you get executed its still worth it in a 2v9.

@May

But yeah here is my explanation of this behaviour I do from the words of a Very Towny Town Flipped Town May

Staying in line with the meta they have is townie; consistent behavoir. At the very least I dont think them not wanting to vote top wagon can be used as an argument.

@WindwardAway

Good for you or sorry that it happened, I’m not reading that

W

@Arctic

but it’s not a reason to think i’m necessarily wrong on guava, because if I am then two people are fooling me instead of one

GTH who are those two people? AKA: Can I have a read list?

@May

Anyway I think I have my D1 foundation that I need to build better reads once I have a flip and I don’t know how much better an understanding of the gamestate I can gain without one. Guava is my favoured flip right now because so much of the game has revolves around them. So I’m fine with things as is

Now that they have flipped, can i have your re-eval of the gamestate?

@May

That I sound partnered with a top wolfread because I ignored them

I love you may and I thnk youre town but please stop defending this point, I think you made it pretty clear

@PrincessAbigail

Science!

Abbi / Zug aren’t paired.

@PrincessAbigail

Yes

This entire voting is townie imo, after a town flip. As a wolf there’s no real need to do it.

@May

so I wanted to case him and see where it took me. That kind of thing.

Have you done it yet?

@May

I straight up don’t primarily make reads in order of “most likely to be a wolf → least likely to be a wolf” on D1. It is a different vocabulary.

Can you do this now that its D2?

@May

DISCLAIMER: this is me idly thinking about my playstyle it’s not relevant to the game as is you don’t have to read it if you don’t want

Honestly if this was all the content youve posted id just SR you for it. I think your SOD and everything before this was 100% townie so im going to keep by it; it just seems like filler, or needless justification of what exactly is going on, and continuous justification of something that doesn’t really need justified. Im going to stick to past luka’s line of thoghts and still have you at town read, just below arctic now(honestly forgot why I town read you, but I trust past luka.)

@May

I just cannot think in the way people want me to. I can’t do it. I can’t pick a set of reads on D1 and stick to them, my brain does not work that way. And it’s frustrating hearing the same impossible expectations every goddamn game.

<3 im sorry.

@May

• What do you think is the numerical % chance that guava will flip scum? Yes, you have to give it a number.

27.1428571429% chance

@May

• If guava flips scum, who will that most indicate as suspicious to you? What if they flip town?

I always hate asking [What if X flips town!] since imo it gives nearly no information, or at least very limited information and is normally just used to defend other people, usually wolves. I dont have any thoughts if they flip town therefor, other than probably looking at the people who jumped on the wagon + abbi good.

@WindwardAway

@May

• Name one townread, one wolfread, and one player you’re unsure of.

Ignore wind being here, honestly forgot this last question existed
Arctic, Garfooled, Lol(At the time of this being posted)

@May

• Do you think this is the highest % chance in the game? If not, who do you think is the most likely to flip scum?

Nope, from my POV(As of writing this, from this point it was probabably lol as my top scum) I dont like Zugs D2 posts(I haven’t re-evaled them alot), and I dont like Garfoolds slot at all.
I liked 4/5 of these questions tho, they all brought town progression.

@Zugzwang

i don’t tr abi/cait/lol/gar/wind

Mostly agree with this except abbi, given I 100% TR them just from ther eposts so far. Also townie readlists from EOD and knowing the flip.

@Arctic

if you thought anyone was gonna use the last 10 minutes of the day to respond to this i’ve got bad news

Why not answer this?

@PrincessAbigail

Why did you unvote me than

Asking these questions in general is townie, but easily fakable.

@May

I’d be taking more second looks at slots like Luka and Arctic.

Sure, but why not second looks at other slots? Kinda confused why you named us two in specific. I would like people ISOing me though if you haven’t already done so, and arctic I would also like since they’re obv town from my pov.

[Zugzwang]

(for “ok i’m laughing”)

[Garfooled]

[Garfooled]

I mean you’re not wrong
but why
that was the sussiest post

[Zugzwang]

(this is why I can’t convince anyone of my reads )

[Zugzwang]

if you were scum you wouldn’t be laughing

[Garfooled]

i will take luka 10000000% more seriously because they have the cat picture now

[Garfooled]

maybe you should do that zug
people might trust your reads more
that laughing welf
is amazing
but is it trustworthy?

[Zugzwang]

@Garfooled

maybe you should do that zug

what is that

[Garfooled]

conform
become
cat

[Zugzwang]

oh

it’s not about trusting me tho ngl
like I could be conf here and I would probably still fail at having thread sway (it’s happened before)

[Garfooled]

@Luka

@May

Which is why I’m so nervous about what happens if guava flips wolf

If they flip wolf its blatently good for us. Even if you get executed its still worth it in a 2v9.

ok yeah i
why would you be nervous
towncase yourself next day
at least we got a wolf