Stratagem-15 FM - MAFIA VICTORY

[WindwardAway]

@Psyx

My hot take is a wolf in Luka/May/Arctic. There is a curious trend in my D1 reads where my gut is right on a wolf and completely wrong on another.

I feel like I saw someone else mention this? Or maybe it was just a similar list. I’m undecided on May and I really believe Arctic is town. Luka I think has just posted nothing that stuck out to me as particularly scummy, and a couple things I thought were towny, but that’s if I’m not looking at votes and pushes. In all honesty, I haven’t backread much of this game and I don’t intend to today.

[WindwardAway]

@guavagudetama

VOTE: WindwardAway

I would like to not be dead when I wake up
Or at all
It’s past midnight so I’m throwing my vote here for now
If I don’t fall asleep I might check thread

I don’t blame you for self-preserving tbh
I’m still undecided whether I actually want to keep my vote on you or not but I don’t think I have time to ISO dive before EoD. So wherever my vote lands is just gonna be on gut and not from a thorough analysis. If I end up flipping today, so be it.

[Zugzwang]

@WindwardAway

Would it have sounded less aware if I said “OP” instead of “setup”? Lol

What I’d normally hate is that it’s easy for scum to just lump all of their scum partners into “Oops, all towny” and then pick LHF town as their only scumread, or possibly bus one and townread the rest. But in this case, if scum says they only have one scumread, they’re probably not gonna bus their only partner.

mmmmmmm

[WindwardAway]

(preferably not, but I’ll be around for EoD to check in and real-time)

[Zugzwang]

(there are 2 wolves)

[WindwardAway]

I can’t tell if you’re memeing or if you’re telling me something I already know.

[Zugzwang]

@WindwardAway

What I’d normally hate is that it’s easy for scum to just lump all of their scum partners into “Oops, all towny” and then pick LHF town as their only scumread, or possibly bus one and townread the rest. But in this case, if scum says they only have one scumread, they’re probably not gonna bus their only partner.

if there are two wolves, a scum has only one partner

they can’t bus one and townread the rest

[WindwardAway]

That was my POINT. that’s why I said I’d normally hate a post that says “I only have one scumread and everyone else is towny”. But because there are only two wolves, I don’t think it makes the post more likely to come from a wolf, it’s just NAI. Maybe even towny.

[WindwardAway]

I was giving an explanation because I was asked for one.

[Zugzwang]

@WindwardAway

That was my POINT. that’s why I said I’d normally hate a post that says “I only have one scumread and everyone else is towny”. But because there are only two wolves, I don’t think it makes the post more likely to come from a wolf, it’s just NAI. Maybe even towny.

oh
amazing 5 am zugzwang reading comprehension

[WindwardAway]

The quote chain fucked up but it was Luka who asked me to explain why I said I DIDN’T hate that post

[WindwardAway]

@WindwardAway

The quote chain fucked up but it was Luka who asked me to explain why I said I DIDN’T hate that post

Wait no it wasn’t lmao, Luka is the one who made that post and Garfooled asked me for the explanation

[WindwardAway]

Ugh broken quotes

[WindwardAway]

[quote=“WindwardAway, post:941, topic:5975, full:true”]

[quote=“Garfooled, post:922, topic:5975”]

@WindwardAway

@Luka

im fairly certain that there is a reason to town read / lean everybody here but cait infact(whos spoken)

[/quote]

I would normally hate this take, but setup says we only have two scum in the game so it’s actually OK this time lol
[/quote]

Does this seem overly self-aware?
And could I ask what you would normally hate about that post @Windward
I think if I get your thought process on this, I could read into you better

Would it have sounded less aware if I said “OP” instead of “setup”? Lol

What I’d normally hate is that it’s easy for scum to just lump all of their scum partners into “Oops, all towny” and then pick LHF town as their only scumread, or possibly bus one and townread the rest. But in this case, if scum says they only have one scumread, they’re probably not gonna bus their only partner.

@Garfooled

[WindwardAway]

Omg i give up on the quotes

[Zugzwang]

i have thoughts about this vote but shouldn’t say them now
remind me to do so later

[Zugzwang]

currently at arctic may luka as TRs (arctic super confident, luka medium town)

which indicates a wolf in cait/gar if abbi’s tell is true…

[Zugzwang]

though
if abbi’s a wolf it’s very possible she would tell her partner to not vote and artificially make the tell false

[Zugzwang]

it’s also interesting how despite having cait/arctic/gar in their towncore they’re still considering luka, without mentioning the tell at all

[Psyx]

@WindwardAway

I feel like I saw someone else mention this? Or maybe it was just a similar list. I’m undecided on May and I really believe Arctic is town. Luka I think has just posted nothing that stuck out to me as particularly scummy, and a couple things I thought were towny, but that’s if I’m not looking at votes and pushes. In all honesty, I haven’t backread much of this game and I don’t intend to today.

I don’t recall seeing anyone group those three together before.

And yeah, I’m pretty much on the same page. May’s posting is fine, but what bugs me is that I usually get townie tone pings from someone as active/vocal as them (see: Luka/Arctic) and here there’s none. Not sure if it’s just the “self-centered” thing that’s messing with their tone tho, so I wanna keep them around to see if they’ll do something that just screams townie (which I do think is very likely if they’re town).