uh
I’m very confident Zorvo is town but I’m scared to ask you to bet the game on any of my reads being right
sure, at the price of letting you blow up the towncore
ok seriously you guys this is just a villager
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yeah but is killing me as mafia tomorrow alongside a towncore player (there is hardly even a towncore, I specifically asked for the bomb because I would like to be made an IC tomorrow given that baker/zorvo/tutuu all want to murder each other and they are my top 3 townreads and neither of us will be around to keep them in check if I am killed today) worse than mischopping me today and then having neither of us around tomorrow
I don’t know
both seem pretty bad
how confident are you (on a percentage basis) in YBW being mafia
hm
that could be w/w but I don’t think it has to be (e.g. Porscha might be town who thought w!Baker was trying to soft PR, or for that matter that v!Baker was trying to soft PR
like, I did think we had a chance if I went over today YBW is mafia and people immediately killed her tomorrow, but I decided it wouldn’t be enough after watching recent posts unfold. tutuu has expressed no interest in sheeping my reads tomorrow and believes that me and zorvo are a difference check (which is very bad and potentially gamelosing)
I would have said around 60% before they made the blatantly misrepresentative posts about the gamestate, now it’s more like 80%
quote the gamestate posts for me again? I saw the ApoThau posts
okay let me put it this way
do you think we ever win if i die today and flip town, given that we are in lylo after one misbomb and three of our collective top towns want to murder each other
compared to if i am mafia who gets bombed tomorrow, I feel like that reduces town winchance less than if I am mischopped today
i’m looking at this with a least-bad sort of approach but it worked for guava where people wanted to be fancy but thankfully we didn’t
here
specifically this part
tbf I think that was ~trueish before I claimed
yeah but thats not when they said it
and after you claimed the exact opposite was the truth
note that this makes even less sense given that their main suspicions, baker, and jinxed, are both voting me
like, the fact they made that comment, despite suspecting the people who are trying to murder me, and the claim being completely misrepresentative of the actual game state just proves to me they are making stuff up to push an agenda.
how do you juggle “there is pushback to killing arctic” with the fact everyone you suspect is trying to kill him?
We all agree there’s at least one wolf in the three topwagons, correct?
By the way if we do flip YBW and they are mafia I still don’t mind getting bombed because I heavily value a day as an IC
I also trust myself more than half of the people here to kill a wolf