Flipless Purgatory - Town Victory!

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Just give me a clear cut 100% certain you wnat the game on this target before 2025-04-12T05:00:00Z

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I will! Most likely it’ll be earlier because I do need to sleep

When I posted that ā€œOh meme is confirmed wolfā€ i was lying, decieving, fooling, I didn’t have it solidly but meme just deflating from it and never showing again has solidified it

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entirely unrelated to everything that’s useful here but this is a good mathpost
NAI but everyone should be saying this

those posts don’t move the needle for me much - BAD
those posts only make small changes on the magnitude of your vector - GOOD

-:coffee:

as for NOT useless things I’m looking over Soweli and finding it’s really hard to map this progression without seeing phase changes and context
one (many) moments

-:coffee:

Hey guys! Back from the MTG tournament at the college I was at (I got fucking rolled this is why you kill blue players.) But I don’t think my read on the grim state is wrong at all from heaven chat. I think It’s Mittens/Pandora/Sowelli but at the end of the day we know one mafia is between me and mittens and both of us are saying it’s Sowelli and one of us is coming from a good place [me] That means YES I do believe that Sowelli missed a win on heaven two. Don’t say ooooohhhh do you think mafia would make a plain mistake like that. I have seen BIGGER and Obvious mistakes happen in orgs. It doesn’t matter who you believe in me or mittens chomps. If both of us are saying Sowelli it’s probably is just Sowelli. I explained in the heaven chat that I know you can back read. Is that Mittens and Sowelli were basically paired this entire game. The reason they are trying to push this is probably reverse pysch because of the fact I was so Anti Childe and after a bit became un anti childe because I believe they were town with Leafia and Sowelli fighting one another being probably opposite allignments.

??? You can review games on this site that I have played were I’m just sporadic in timing. That doesn’t hold much ground at all. But if you believe I’m evil it’s probably just still Sowllie in that world which still benefits because I’m saying it’s just Sowllie. Meaning in all worlds you vote against them.

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Another point that I would like to point out in that heaven chat the moment I joined that chat I was jumped for being a mafia member. Is that not TMI??? Sure you can assume someone enters a chat they are on oppoiste allignments but it was already confirmed in their heads. It’s because they were confifdent that a judgement day won’t happen. Meaning yes Gate one we had two mafia being sent in two different places.

The worlds that both side is saying is:

Meme’s world: Sowelli missed win lol

Mitten’s world: Sowelli is evil!

So I believe the vote should no matter what go to Sowelli due to the fact deduction. If everyone is saying it’s a fucking duck. It’s a duck

I’ve finished going through Soweli’s progression properly, now writing everything down to keep thoughts straight
And I’m now pretty convinced it’s Soweli
I’m going to go through Childe’s and Meme’s posts though

I’m of the same mind as Magnus now, though for different reasons
I want to list the most important out here (in order), partially to look back on postgame, and partially in case Chomps has felt moved at all by Meme’s recent posts (…though I doubt that lol)

  • Soweli’s progression broadly doesn’t make sense, in that she was fairly confident Frink was a wolf, but rarely built reasoning off that, and more generally did not seem to build worlds based on potential flips.
  • Meme put Childe in a great deal of danger, which would’ve been very risky as w/w - they nearly could’ve lost the game in Hell Phase 3 as a result of that distancing/push.
  • Soweli in F3 jumped to the conclusion that Leafia must be the wolf, after previously (the phase before) being unsure who it was between Childe and Leafia.
  • Much of Soweli’s reads on Childe and Pandora weren’t explained very much, and I have a lot of trouble seeing those reads as strong enough to outweigh Soweli’s reads on Leafia, which on the other hand were explained and had much more detail.

And to cap this off, I don’t find Meme’s current performance moving - if anything, the choice to stir the pot is an indication we’re on the right track.


If I’m wrong about this… well, apologies. I think there were many ways I could’ve played better this game, regardless of the ultimate outcome, though there were also many good plays if Frink is a wolf (and I did at least catch Meme in Hell 2).

I will also note that, if I am right on this, I do feel @soweli has played a pretty impressive wolfgame - I was fooled until today, and I’m not sure if I would’ve woken up from this if not for Magnus.

VOTE: Soweli. @Chomps, we’ve decided.

-:coffee:

okay

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having a last look at wrogn 2’s endgame

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hmm okay

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VOTE: Soweli

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Can confirm I’m not a wolf this time!

-:coffee: