[GAME THREAD 6/13] Risky Light Game: Featuring Rain - Day 4 - Mafia wonnered

I went to iso Illwei and just realized that she has 69 posts currently.

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Day 3 VC

Voted Voters Votes
Trochilidae Squirrel2412, Aelin 2/5
illwei Trochilidae, Gorta 2/5
Squirrel2412 illwei 1/5
Not Voting Frog, BradLand, Aelin, Leafia, EliThePsycho 5

:joy_cat:

Fuck it I still think Illwei is town.

Kinda feel like she’s making some sort of effort even if it’s the lowest of low efforts.

Also her treatment of me Day 1 is pretty much towny coming from her. 1. She knows that I know how to read her when she’s both alignments so I’d catch her if she was mafia and 2. Her treatment of me Day 1 was town coming from her. The day start vote was a joke but the second vote in the middle of the day “Because I’m not scumreading her” at that point was a serious read she’d make. Plus she knows how annoyed I’d get when I’m voted as town so she’d be more inclined to pocket me.

So yeah, Illwei town and I’m keeping my stance on that.

Also, this is how you explain why someone is town, Professor.

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Im just gonna say Squirrel is town rn

Top of your head what else do you have?

I sorta botched this explanation a bit because it went into the 2nd point and it was messy.

Illwei knows that I know how to catch her when she’s mafia, so her going after me because I wasn’t scumreading her Day 1 when she had next to no presence beyond Start of Day is an example of her knowing that I know how to read her.
Hopefully this is a better worded explanation.

It admittedly is even if I don’t exactly agree with your conclusion. I haven’t figured anything new out since yesterday though. I’ll try and do some solving later once I wake up fully.

I think everyone has checked back in by now

Gorta’s claim is real IMO, today is the day Gorta needed to claim just in case tomorrow becomes LYLO. Claims in LYLO are terribad, now is the time for counter claims. So unless Gorta knew he was going down and trying to fish out PRs, then Gorta is real 100% of the time. There should be no doubt now that there hasn’t been any CCs tbh

Looking at EOD2, there were Magnus voters and Trochi voters

The Magnus voters were:
Aelin
Trochi
Gorta
Leafia
Squirrel

The counter wagon was Trochi, with the following voters:
Professor
Eli
Frog

Then we had off wagon voters:
Illwei
Bradland

So I think there are two components to this. The first is whether or not Trochi is Wolf. If Trochi is wolf, then we can reasonably assume wolves saved Trochi in the group of:
Aelin
Leafia
Squirrel

If Trochi is not wolf, then wagonomics matters a little bit less, but it’s still relevant because we wouldn’t expect all of the wolves to be on Magnus where Trochi is Town. That leaves:
Eli
Frog
Illwei
BradLand

I am pure AF and I want Brad to be town more than I actually think hes town, so that leaves:
Eli
Illwei

I think even if Trochi is Mafia, I don’t think ALL of the wolves pile onto Magnus wagon, so if we’re looking at off wagon potential, I think the best bet is to split the votes today between:

Eli
Illwei

I believe there is at least 1 wolf here if Trochi is Mafia, and if Trochi is Town, I think it’s more likely they’re both wolves

I spent the majority of today thinking I was just going to vote Trochi and call it a day, but they’ve actually been doing work and posting villagery. If I’m looking at this 100% fresh, it’s just this simple.

Who is actually playing the game, and who is not playing the game?

It doesn’t take more than a glance at the post count to see this:

Leafia: 148 Posts
Aelin: 145 Posts
Frog: 127 Posts
Trochi: 116 Posts
Bradland: 85 Posts
Illwei: 70 posts
Squirrel: 57 posts
Gorta: 45 Posts
Eli: 30 Posts

I don’t think this needs to be rocket science

There’s a reason this phrase exists:
“Sort by postcount, become werewolf master”

I think it would be incredibly foolish to decide to vote one of the top posters today, just on a level zero basis of reads

It makes absolutely no sense to me

So Trochi is 100% off the table for me

I think the correct plan today is to vote between Illwei and Eli with a side of Squirrel always

Again, it’s not rocket science, low posters, not even playing the game

I think it comes down to, I don’t want to let lowposting wolves win the game, it would be the absolute dumbest way to lose the game

@Aelin read above

The majority of interactions I had today were testing people, and the only people who actually kept a back and forth with me were leafia and trochi. Leafia kept having things that felt off style wise, so I kept pushing and prodding until I got this:

Villagery breakdown IMO - Leafia basically pulls 180 on several reads, considers new worlds, paranoia is high, FEELS genuinely lost, this is villagery AF

I was ready to just vote Trochi and be done with today but they’ve been tryharding all day, I don’t think a wolf that knows they’re probably going to flip does this.
They’ve actually been playing and solving, and again, it would be incredibly dumb to let a bunch of players who basically haven’t been playing coast

I tried probing Eli and literally was just ignored

Illwei starts the day by faking a red check on me

I don’t know if either have them have done literally anything meaningful the entire game

This should always be the wagon composition today IMO

@Leafia : 148 Posts
@Aelin : 145 Posts
@Frog : 129 Posts
@Trochilidae : 116 Posts
@Bradland : 85 Posts
@Illwei : 70 posts
@Squirrel2412 : 57 posts
@Gorta : 45 Posts
@ElizaThePsycho : 30 Posts

If you are not playing the game, I will vote you

It’s crazy how some people who are usually high posters saw “light game” and decided to no post

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Is brad shielding illwei still or

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I also don’t understand why trochi is 100% off the table for you today

ISO Trochi right now

Look at what Trochi has done today

Are they playing the game? Yes
Are they pushing for interactions? Yes
Compared to the rest of the game, are they actually considering wold views for solves and adapting? Yes

So like, it’s not hard to see Trochi doesn’t care if they get yeeted, they’re putting in the work and effort and it feels dumb to vote there today always

I thought Brad was shielding Squirrel tbh

Illwei coming in with a fake red check feels like something noob villagers do more than wolves, but I have heard of Illwei and I know Illwei isn’t a noob, I don’t know why they’d do that as wolf to get my attention but it has me mindf*cked

“Guys X is efforting, I shield them”

me attempting to find the best way to mock this like of thinking

This made me laugh IRL admittedly. Thanks Aelin. I needed that laugh and I hope your chronic depression goes away sometime too. We’re all your friends regardless of alignments and we’ll always be there for you if you need us. Gives Aelin a comforting hug That being said, I’ve been doing some thinking and I think Illwei has the best chance of flipping wolf between her and Trochi. I have a hard time imagining a wolf making the posts that Trochi has been making honestly. If anyone has any alternatives to Illwei though, I’ll listen. I want to make sure we yeet a wolf today.

Almost all of my posts have been interrogating high effort & high posting players, I’m not sure what there is to mock at this post. I’ve done my due diligence

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@ElizaThePsycho
Where is squirrel for you right now?

Kinda sus ngl