Kittens Game: Combinatorics Mafia - GAME OVER, TOWN WIN

also, if you’re wolf, then it contains 1 wolf anyway lol

Did we clear Zugzwang

We are not testing 2 people, especially 1 of which is an already outed wolf.
Don’t even try to waste our time like that.

D1.
Zug’s confirmed good.
But certainly not confirmed right.

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No literally

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splitting into 3/3 clears 3 people but it bets the game on finding 1 wolf out of 3 socially in worst case csenario

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In that scenario mafia manages to get a perfect 3/3 tonight?

Guava whats ur thoughts on 2/3

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i dont understand what u mean

im accounting for worst case scenario - the mafia guess 3/3 tonight. im thinking what is the best thing we can do if tomorrow is our last day

this
Guava does this not make you reeval Kii at all?

image

Zugzwang pov rn
Like I don’t think that vote was irrelevant at all because it didn’t gain traction because like half the cast is dead set on the idea he’s a wolf…

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LockTown
Zugzwang, yours truly, SDA

Trusttown
tutuu,bionic

2/3
Kiiruma, Marluna, Ash

The rest
Frostwolf103
Someone
Hippopablompoyeetus
guavagudetama

We absolutely need to check who in the 2/3 is the nonscum, if we check a group of the rest we’re just left with a bunch of 50/50s (which is why hippo’s suggestion is horrible)

My suggestion is Ash/hippo/guava

if we end up with 0, we know for a fact it’s in frost/someone
if we end up with 1, we’re clearing frost/someone cause we have all 3 in that group of 5
if we end up with 2 we know for a fact it’s ash + 50/50 on the remaining two in each group

Is this just Kiiruma-Marluna-Guava?

Guava I have pointed out many contradictions and bad progression from Kii
they are not hard to find

So far we know mafia has had a 1 and then a 0.

This means that they have 1 Mason (Prob between 3)
And 2 Masons (Prob between 3)

If they’re playing it optimally.

The chances of hitting it perfectly would be a 1/3 x 2/3 x 1/2 = 2/18 = 1/9.

yall stop tryin to read for a second and do the combinatorics for me

I mean if you really think it’s Kiiruma let’s prove it right here right now

VOTE: Kiiruma

This is 0/1 wolves

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Guava who do u think mafia in in Ash/kii/marl

Bingo.

Clearly Ash/Marluna based on the previous post lol