Legacy Forum of Lies 2 - The Psychopathic King, Possessor, and Alchemist win

Forum Games Completed
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#1921

@August

Let alchemsit live.

1 Like
#1922

What did you kill them with

#1923

ā€¦

Yes I see

UNVOTE

2 Likes
#1924

I softed enough, I say no more

1 Like
#1925

Kaiser claimed princess did he not

#1926

Eh fair enough. So that means the factional is accounted for.

#1927

Today I learned CW is special

Also prince can fake claim so Iā€™m not worried about mass claim

#1928

The nice thing about social deduction games is that if the dataset is complete, they can be expressed fairly easily as a tree of variations using decision markers and ranges (even if each tree is complicated enough to have as many branches as an actual one). The information obtained canā€™t account for free will or intrinsic motivations that come from outside of the gameā€¦ Which is to say the variance between the objectively correct decisions the data suggests should be made, and what actually happens, but what it CAN do is distill just about everything else in to a neat data point and give an incomparable amount of clarity as to the expected variance of each player based on their decisions.

Collating/scraping enough games to build a database starts to pick up some really interesting trends:

There is a contingent of players whose trees are not significantly different from a randomly generated one insofar as how they relate to the correct decisions.

  • The expected value of at least one such player existing in any single dataset is 1, which is to say at least one such player exists in each dataset
  • The tree of any single player in this contingent is projected to correlate to any other single player that exists in the same contingent predictably
  • The expected outcome of any one game correlates with the size of the contingent relative to the entire group, and its predictive power is surprisingly accurate
  • The expected value of a player in this contingent being evil is predictably lower than the odds

Returning back to the full dataset of a game with the contingent known unfortunately causes the illusion of it being interesting to crumble, because it becomes clear exactly what the database is suggesting once you stop viewing the data objectively and start thinking about it critically. I will leave it up to your judgement and investigation to decide what what is!

1 Like
#1929

Ftr I did

#1930

Good morning to you too

1 Like
#1931

Iā€™m sorry but I didnā€™t read a word you wrote

2 Likes
#1932

I believe you misunderstood what I am softing, but I am not surprised since Abella suspected you, Daan and Pav according to her legacy reads

I am however wrong on my judgement and I intend to clear up that mistake.

#1933

After all, before her death I assumed she is distancing Daan and you, Tanaka. Pav being unlikely scum buddy until D3 happens

#1934

@Kaiser since you did claim transgender princess, do you have other info you havenā€™t disclosed publicly unless you have nice chat with Henryk?

1 Like
#1935

Feels like youā€™re saying youā€™re gonna kill me to be honest

#1936

Iā€™m saying you did whatever with abella and Iā€™ve taken the factional kill on osaa

#1937

On the contrary.

#1938

But you were suppose to be suspicious one according to late Abella

Its nothing personal

#1939

So you are going to kill me or you arenā€™t Iā€™m not really following

#1940

Oh please enlighten more about this, besides the fact Osaa claimed archer, are you saying you stopped an attack?