Plants Mountainous Poison - Day 8 (1/16) - Wolf Win

hmm okay
eevee wanna sum up scumward

every single one of eeveeā€™s posts is just turning into that pic with the random math expressions in my brain

u all know the one iā€™m not funny enough to rxn post it

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you even liked it

yeah eevee does that
iā€™m gonna save my sanity by reading him after he flips someone

/vote windward

@Host_Account_2

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How do you explain the fact that upon rereading Brad you come to a completely different outcome. What changed? There must be more to this. @Leafia

Read 1
Read 2

@Solic

Yeah, I think that doesnā€™t explain it for me.

this was like, a big moment in leafiaā€™s character arc.

i admittedly have paid v little attention to leafiaā€™s character arc until now and even i noticed it

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Itā€™s really weird to me, I want Leafiaā€™s response before Iā€™d get more into it though.

what?

peopleā€™s minds change like 300 times a day about all sorts of random stuff
whatā€™s outlandish about rereading something in mafia and just outright not agreeing w your past self?

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if ur werkin an angle here just tell me and iā€™ll sit down but like, i canā€™t really see a way that question is productive ?

i think he thought he had a gotcha moment and is now sad

happened to me before its hard to let go

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Even if, I would not bother about it.

In case they are both town - Frog is way more likely to be poisoned, due to sheer thread volume they had.
If Kiiruma dies first - only then I would start thinking about them.

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Okay then, what if 2W1H is the fake poisoned one?

Iā€™m fine joining this for now. Wind felt way too aloof about wagons yesterday. This vote still operates from a ā€œBrad is townā€ world. Thatā€™d mean that main wagons would be me/Frog/Eli/Brad. From my PoV thatā€™d be T/(person that is poisoned, so they can be resolved)/T/T. Wind felt like a sideliner to me despite being quite active and traditionally a leader like figure.

/Vote Windward @Host_Account_2

Ok so what I want to do here is go through Bradā€™s ISO and read all of his posts with the assumption heā€™s town because I think all Iā€™ve done so far today is read his posts as coming from scum. Also did that quite a bit yesterday, except on a couple posts.
Iā€™m just thinking if thereā€™s any chance Iā€™m getting into a confbias on his slot, this is probably a good way to rule it out. Once Iā€™m done Iā€™ll take a step back and see whether town!Brad seems like itā€™s a plausible world.
If any of my comments seem forced here then they probably are, since Iā€™m trying to see where the limit to Bradā€™s towniness is.

A villager says this if they donā€™t feel particularly stressed in the thread, they intend to contribute, but donā€™t feel pressured to produce content; a wolf feels pressured to look productive and goes immediately into solving, which can result in forced reads.

Brad says Gorta looks out of place and everyone else looks fine
Heā€™s not going straight for pushing Gorta just yet

Wishful thinking
I canā€™t say itā€™s the most effective method Iā€™ve ever seen, but Iā€™ve seen it come from town!Brad many times before
He just falls into wolvesā€™ pockets easily because he wants to believe theyā€™re town by default, and waits to see if something changes his mind, rather than assuming theyā€™re scum and waiting for something towny to happen; itā€™s a playstyle thing
Iā€™ve seen him die as obvtown leaving a legacy of a wolf or two in his towncore, so if heā€™s town in this game thereā€™s very likely a wolf already trying to pocket him

Bradā€™s read on Gorta isnā€™t a flat-out ā€œthis is a wolfā€
it can be a vote based on the suspicion that Gorta is trying to make something scummy out of the joke post
I still disagree with that take since Gorta said he didnā€™t know it was a joke, but Brad isnā€™t pushing Gorta so much as pressuring him at this point

This was in response to Eli saying that Worst, Brad and Solic all have stinky votes on Gorta
Brad doesnā€™t have super solid reasoning on Gorta but it checks out

This response is why I think Brad jumped on Eli too fast for that interaction
If I assume Brad is town for what is essentially a snap OMGUS on Eli, then this is an impulsive villager reaction because he saw something he didnā€™t think lined up and now heā€™s decided itā€™s probably TMI (spoiler: it wasnā€™t)

First part of this is asking Eli why heā€™s defending Gorta, which I also asked
The other part is explaining to me why heā€™s voting Eli, because I asked
At some point I realized I was misinterpreting what Eliā€™s dislike of the Gorta wagon was for, and then I agreed with him instead

Bradā€™s assumption here is that Eli is chainsaw defending Gorta but also has TMI that Gorta is town
(My question here would be, why would wolf!Eli want to disband a wagon on a villager anyway? For towncred?)

This explanation is pretty sound; I didnā€™t read Risky Light Game but I heard about Leafia getting piled on early in the game and then getting ignored for the rest of it, so it makes sense that town!Brad doesnā€™t want a repeat of that

The one thing that still doesnā€™t fit is why he thinks Eli is scum defending Gorta as possible scum, but also thinks Eli has TMI that Gorta is town
We now know that wasnā€™t the case, at least for Eli, but Iā€™m still trying to figure out how town!Brad reaches this conclusion, because his response here indicates that he still thinks Gorta is scum and therefore doesnā€™t really believe Eli has TMI that Gorta is town

Brad townreading people this early in the game for being friendly/interactive and wanting them to be town is not really that suspicious

@BradLand I think I may have already asked you this, but when you said thereā€™s 1 in Gorta/Eli, did you mean exactly 1, or did you mean at least 1?

Also where did that Solic read go? I donā€™t remember seeing Brad comment much on Solic after that, other than a post or two following up after this one.

Decent point on Solic, I liked that too
Trochi I questioned him about iirc and his response is somewhere farther down in his ISO

This is a towny post

Brad questioning whether heā€™s being read for his own posts or how heā€™s interacting is a good look
Iā€™ve noticed so far while going through his ISO (Iā€™m only a third of the way through, RIP me) that his posts so far hold up fairly well to individual scrutiny, better than I thought they did earlier
I mightā€™ve gotten too hung up on the Eli vote and just went through the entirety of D1 thinking that was a sign heā€™s scum and never really looked at him properly again

This defense makes sense
He gave his reads and he defended them when asked
Other than the confusing part about whether he did or didnā€™t believe Eli had TMI, he seems to want to believe his other reads
I think he believes at least a few of them

Back to this again, hard defending one of the biggest flaws he could possibly have in his reads by allowing wolves to possibly infiltrate his towncore
Itā€™s not good, itā€™s not that logical, but itā€™s also a weird thing for a wolf to say when they could just come up with better reasons than ā€œI want my friends to be town with meā€. Seems childish, like a kid who wants something and doesnā€™t know how to make it happen except by repeating they want it.
I donā€™t think scum would be so upset about not being allowed to townread someone for completely mundane reasons because theyā€™d already know the reasons were bad and they would want to look for a more solid defense.
(Iā€™m not gonna quote everything from this interaction with 2wolves because I donā€™t think the hotheaded stuff is worth commenting on)

I can buy this reasoning
Good players are highly valuable as town and sometimes even valuable as wolves, as long as they donā€™t reach the point where theyā€™ll never be voted out (and considering this is mountainous, there wonā€™t be mechlocks so Iā€™m not really concerned)
For the same reason I donā€™t like to immediately yeet strong players even if I suspect early on that they could be wolfing; itā€™s better to wait a day or two and see if they just self-resolve instead.

Brad adds Marl as a townread here
I think he gave reasoning somewhere later in the day but Iā€™m still looking
Sounds kinda like Brad is wolfreading Gorta just for lack of towny things here which isā€¦ idk
it could be confbias if heā€™s convinced himself that Gorta is the strongest scumread he currently has due to interactions, it could just be a lazy read where he doesnā€™t want to bother to look more into Gorta (tbf I donā€™t think Gorta had really done anything else at the time of this post), idk
On the other hand it doesnā€™t sound like Brad has committed to hard pushing Gorta here, so I donā€™t know if it would qualify as an agenda push either, in wolf!Brad worlds
Itā€™s just kinda like his read is there, it exists, but whatever

Asking Trochi to lead is interesting
I donā€™t think Brad really followed up on this much

Unusual for this post to come from scum, not impossible, but pretty bold if it does
Last time I saw Brad wolf he just sort of collapsed immediately on D1 and his wolfgame was very underwhelming, so I bussed him even though he was by far our strongest PR
He didnā€™t really have any fire to his posts, I donā€™t recall him really pushing anyone or even giving memorable reads, and when pressured he just disappeared
Tbf I think it was his first game on this site or something, so that couldā€™ve been related

I think Iā€™ve heard the exact opposite of this reasoning - that wolves are more likely to question townreads on them - but I think this logic is ~fine

I donā€™t remember what happened with the followup here, honestly

Lol
Does this ever come from a wolf? What purpose does it serve, other than being facetious? which I donā€™t think benefits a wolf, either, because itā€™s just dumb in that case

he did give an example of a post he thought was towny, and I agree with the early solving aggression take
this read looks ok

Stuff on Solic matches with Bradā€™s townread on him

Maybe itā€™s a little concerning he basically offered to sheep Trochi but the only comment he gave here was a wowee

looks like a weak reason to townread Marl
gonna think on that for a bit longer

This explanation made sense in response to Frog

Brad questioning why Frog is scumreading one of his townreads
Frog responded, but I donā€™t think Brad commented on it again after that
hmm

Also I just lost my place in Bradā€™s ISO cause I jumped out of it briefly to look at the response chain but Iā€™m about halfway through his ISO, like 70 posts or something
I gotta stop for now and wonā€™t be back on my laptop to finish the ISO till at least tomorrow irl, since Iā€™m doing stuff with friends for the rest of the day/night, but Iā€™d like to pick up where I left off

Thoughts so far are that Brad looks better than I thought he did, and I can see posts where he believes what heā€™s saying
Itā€™s mainly just his read on Eli and maybe some of his followup on certain posts that are making me wary, but I feel a bit better about his slot so I want to rethink things before placing my vote today

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that would be insane but 2w1h is obvious town so it would be good to have a townie for longer

just gonna take this opportunity to hard-pocket wind and leafia at the SAME TIME

/vote Solic

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