oh yeah i forgot to account for the GS being guaranteed
No, but that is my assumption.
we know a GS is here kazio claimed it and we trust that
there would be 2. if O.kazo is telling the truth
There was a public announcement before day start.
Thats only a minister thing i believe
and suddently the fluff statistics conversation became useful
it is, you’re right.
Minister is in fact unique
I forgot
If there is guaranteed no unique in the game, then the maximum odds for any particular role to not be in the game is (7/8)^13 which is roughly 17%; about 3% lower than if a unique is guaranteed in the game.
?
…? There can be multiple Unique roles?
Grey Sister, Medium, and Minister can rand together?
If so, then throw away my math.
im not sure this tracks, (7/8)^13 assumes no role ever reached the 3 role cap
yeah, they are unique in the sense that only one of each exists
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Therefore, it is highly unlikely that any non-unique roles are in the game.
As such, town must be comprised of only unique roles and vanilla townies.
Statistical analysis is a fool’s endeavor.
My red check finally enters the thread
Hence the “maximum” odds.
I never said it was a realistic one.
arent there only three wolves?
Crooked dual-degree application.
Then yeah: Throw away my math.