Well that kinda answer question, its just there can be no more than 3 non-unique rand of same class.
this isin’t serious talk
at least imnnot serious
I just got curious and im a nerd
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I’m red checking you tonight
2 Likes
oh ok
IM HARD CLAIMING The Exorcist
I have used my one shot ability on O.Kazio. This means their ritual abilities for today are disabled .
I propose we sacrifice them this ritual phase. Since they will not be able to use a ritual ability, this results in what is effectively a second execution for us. Additionally, since only two abilities block ritual abilities (and a ritual ability being blocked is loud), sacrificing o.kazio will confirm my claim, since the other ability that is capable of disabling rituals requires guessing kazios role correctly, which there is no way I could do on night 1 as a heretic.
And before someone says “oh what if you are pushing a wolf for the conversion?”, if thats the case, you will know I bullshitted because no “the ritual has failed” host message will come, and you can just hang me on the stop, which would kill two wolfes for a new one being converted which is still a net gain for town, meaning this play would be absolutely idiotic for wolf me to do
I’m hard claiming town
btw
with a known minister, it becomes
Out of 1000000 simulated rands with a guaranteed minister,
230483 had 0 diviners, which corresponds to 23,0483% odds
366817 had 1 diviners, which corresponds to 36,6817% odds
259654 had 2 diviners, which corresponds to 25,965399% odds
143046 had 3 diviners, which corresponds to 14,304601% odds
And if we add in the GS
Out of 1000000 simulated rands with a guaranteed minister, and grey sister
240220 had 0 diviners, which corresponds to 24,022% odds
372186 had 1 diviners, which corresponds to 37,2186% odds
254460 had 2 diviners, which corresponds to 25,446001% odds
133134 had 3 diviners, which corresponds to 13,313399% odds
The original, with no assumptions:
Out of 1000000 simulated rands,
223126 had 0 diviners, which corresponds to 22,3126% odds
363232 had 1 diviners, which corresponds to 36,3232% odds
262620 had 2 diviners, which corresponds to 26,262001% odds
151022 had 3 diviners, which corresponds to 15,1022005% odds
Intereestingly, there’s no real singificant change on the odds, the ~1% variation is within expected deviation for a pseudorandom computer sim with relatively low n
what have I done
im done wasting posts now btw
Oh red is my favorite color :D
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Who should i vote on the ritual thing
Did you guys decide on anyone
Yeah we are ritting Geyde
Consensus right now is o.kazio but not for the reasons in my original post, funnily enough
alright
geyde has literally never been mentioned
i don’t like brak casting doubt on the excorcist claim
i will trust dum he seems more sane
Bionic failed my rt what should I do