If we assume Wiz is town though.
D1: 3 PR, 6 VT, 2 Mafia.
We execute a town. 3 PR, 5 VT, 2 Mafia
That’s a 2/7 chance 28.5% to hit mafia D1
N1: Viiglante kills a town, claim vigilante kills Wis, hider hits a wolf. Mafia kill the vigilantes 1 PR, 3 VT, 2 Mafia.
Chance of hitting town that isn’t wiz is 2/6 = 33.3% for both the hider and vigilante.
D2: 40% to hit a wolf
Multiplying them together…
28.59% to not hit a wolf, if we ignore hider.