I implore y’all to truly consider if you think I’m likely to flip wolf or if I’m just poe, and if I’m just poe, then just idk try to see my reasons above and consider what worlds we can be in where I’m a villager
that’s it, that’s all I got
if yall have a game plan for the next two days then good luck and hopefully me being dead weight won’t matter
(unless the 24h hammer plan doesn’t happen; in that case, I’m probably gonna defend myself more. like an annoying mosquito. bzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz)
(I’m opening this question to everyone, I want to see where yall are gonna go)
how come
Derps is most likely after Spooky while Zug and Chomps are least likely. Believd me, no wolf acts the way Zug did and I’ve played with Derps a ton too. Although I haven’t really seen him as wolf.
How about got not one but two wolves exed? Especially when Chomps was an option too?
Gut and her being one of the first ones to vote Ash.
Whoever rbed Derps should absolutely claim too. If no one does, Derps must be the last wolf.
The way I see it, it’s either you, Derps, or Creature.
nyaaaaaa Zone answered
apparently, people with an informative ability are told if they’re roleblocked regardless, even if they didn’t use anything that night
I’d assumed the opposite, so I wasn’t sure if I was roleblocked last night
but now that I know I wasn’t, wolves probably are either out of roleblocks or have (correctly) decided it’d be too powerful for me to have more shots, which makes it no longer useful to hide my role
my ability (not role name) is a 2-shot of picking a player, and learning what type(s) of actions they did that night
Soweli did an informative action n1 - this isn’t suspicious in itself, but since most of those are investigatives that require thought in picking a target, it made it very suspicious that Soweli had claimed to have not read up overnight (and, naturally, Soweli’s claim of Doctor was fully outing)
n2 I picked Spooky, since they were the wolfiest player who I know to be a skilled wolf, and got roleblocked
My role name is “DNA Analyst” (which is not like my ability for the most part, except that it’s also informative and can catch people for doing the factional)
other than that there is a but IDK if I should say more about it thbthtbhtbthbthbt
i see you liking my posts and yet you do not say a single word to me as i lie on my deathbed
cruel
I was off apparently.
I thought you were watcher/tracker…
That would have been more useful info.
also, it is possible that the roleblock is just simply non-concecutive.
nyaaaaaaa I’m writing thtbthbthbthtbhtb
ok this post is getting too long and unwieldy to continue putting quotes into so I’ll just put the first part here
(I realize you’re probably a wolf and this is annoying if so, but I figure I might as well respond)
I don’t see how suspecting you would get you to townread them? And their vote on Ash was a response to Kyubey’s vote on Ash, plus Ash was a wolf, so that feels more like a “well I have to be open to any self-pres” rather than a planned “I will suspect Spooky to make them townread me, then move to someone else”
I don’t think the points about steering soweli through the redcheck ever mattered meaningfully in the first place
because in like 90% of scenarios there’s no getting out of a redcheck
and I don’t think the “stay UTR” strategy is at all good or a goal that could win the game for you, considering the gamestate D2
I can’t speak for others, but I felt you were towny because of this
and because your reads/thoughts D1 were sufficient at the time. You didn’t end up making a worldview though (until today somewhat), which is way less than in Combinatorics, which is part of the reason I wolfread you now:
specifically for the thing about not making a worldview / developing reads, there’s a relevant Maypost thbthtbhtbthb
Like ignore that I’m doing this graph on my connections but. Dotted line is par to be out of PoE. You must do X towny things ON A RATE BASIS to stay out of PoE.
Green line is a towny person, they’re consistently getting +townpoints and keep pace with par. Very towny
Red person is wolfy. They’re rarely townt and can even LOSE points. Bad
Blue is null. They are still often towny! But it’s not enough to consistently stay above the PoE par, because I expect to see your real towny thoughts shine through more often than I’m getting
This is also why I can townread somebody early on and not find anything new wolfy from them but sitll change my mind. They didn’t do anything ADDITIONAL that was towny. Failing to keep pace with par
it’s also significantly POE and I’ll put that in a separate post
I realize you’re probably a wolf
well, you’re in for a cold shower sir
I don’t see how suspecting you would get you to townread them? And their vote on Ash was a response to Kyubey’s vote on Ash, plus Ash was a wolf, so that feels more like a “well I have to be open to any self-pres” rather than a planned “I will suspect Spooky to make them townread me, then move to someone else”
Refuge in audacity. Why would a wolf in that situation want to vote a villager who is trying to cooperate with them? it makes more sense from a villager who is just genuinely suspecting you and doesn’t really care about getting limmed, so a wolf would emulate that and try to get me to follow that.
It’s ~similar-ish to what I did in KRC, where I pushed you following claiming a fake red on mining peep. why would a wolf push into towncore? partially because I thought it might actually work, and partially because lol, it gets townread
I don’t think the points about steering soweli through the redcheck ever mattered meaningfully in the first place
agreed
and I don’t think the “stay UTR” strategy is at all good or a goal that could win the game for you, considering the gamestate D2
I also wouldn’t argue the amount of distancing they did with me would be enough for w!me to win the game either. The simple answer for this is because I’m not a wolf. Though I don’t think I’ll be convincing anyone of that (I thought you were more on the fence until I saw this post, honestly)
i dont really have anything to say about that^ post
its just true that I didn’t have much of a foundation, I’d argue it’s not wolfy for that to happen and NAI but either this game or combinatorics (or both) is an outlier
just… well, don’t be disappointed at EoD, I suppose
not me refreshing the page and now my posts are in sequence so me going ^ doesn’t make sense anymore
smh
zug please humor me
say im a villager
what happens next?
what’s the thing you weren’t sure you wanted to mention earlier? if you really think the game is about to end does it matter to withold it?
and if y’all wanted to hammer me (im not going to self hammer) the window for a non-extended night is the next singular minute
zug please humor me
say im a villager
what happens next?what’s the thing you weren’t sure you wanted to mention earlier? if you really think the game is about to end does it matter to withold it?
nyaaaaaaaaa I’m typing out poe/legacy rn