Why are we doing 3 people, 2 is just better
With 2 all 3 outcomes are good, with 3, 1/3 means we wasted a day
We get strictly less information. I don’t know how it looks past D1 (ask Zugzwang), but at the moment, our expected value for information is much higher with a 3 guess than a 2 guess.
Using pure probability is fundamentally flawed since evils will never let us pick 3 good people
If we pick 2 people, then evils dont have any good option
We need to pick 2 people, not 3
3 gives more info on more people goofy
also have some CONFIDENCE in yourselves
BE CONFIDENT WE WILL WIN, AND IT SHALL BE
im telling you
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We dont want more info on more people, we want to lock down where evils are
1/2 is 10x more useful then 1/3
That’s an 8% reduction in probability of a 1/x in exchange for losing a significant amount of information.
I do not think that that math’s correct.
Game not as simple as rand statistics and I think our overreliance on them here is equally as likely to fuck us as help
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No there isnt, using pure probability is fundamentally fucked
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Evils will never let us pick 3 good people, and they will sneak 1 evil in
intrinsically these both work to accomplish the same goal
So if we hit 3 town anyone who tried to stop us is outted right
I am confident that we wont ever pick 3 good people d1
its like executing a mafia d1
normally
Yeah because if you had it your way we would pick 2 instead