Magnus “Good Luck” Usage
Mafia
First.
You’ll be back, time will tell
You’ll remember that I served you well
Oceans rise, empires fall
We have seen each other through it all
And when push comes to shove
I will send a fully armed battalion to remind you of my love!
Da-da-da, dat-da, dat, da-da-da, da-ya-da
Da-da, dat, dat, da-ya-da
Da-da-da, dat-da, dat, da-da-da, da-ya-da
Da-da, dat, dat, da-ya
Can we agree that expecting every single player to read roughly thousands of posts over the span of hours for each day is dumb and immature?
Sure, but don’t sign up to games if you’re feeling unsure.
’Though for the length of these games no one’s schedule is pure.
For myself, like my reads my activity can be hit-or-miss,
but cool, my day cycle is like bliss.
…Just shut up, Magnus. If we were two different people instead of this being a random skit, I would be very mad right now. Just because you’re online at SOD for once, albeit for two hours or so, doesn’t give you the right to do nothing whatsoever before RVS. My ears are bleeding in response to your Hamilton references. Burst into flames.
You’re not playing this game. I’m playing this game. I already know seven other players this game — Beancat, Gorta (sorta), Leafia, Lemonfairy, Lol, Marluna and Zorvo —, which means I don’t know Blitz, Cream, Glass, Gyrlander, Lissi or Obscurity. I have assembled a readlist based on how well I know you.
Townread:
Townlean:
Nullread:
Scumlean:
Scumread:
Blitz
Cream
Glass
Gyrlander
Lissi
Obscurity.
(Seriously, I hold no attachment to any of these reads. I’m just making waves and trying something new each game.)
To that end, good luck to everyone and remember to have fun!
Immediately at SOD1.
In F3.
Pandora whispered me out of the blue during the first day. She greeted me with a goofy tone, and I responded in kind with smalltalk. Said smalltalk involved discussion regarding Snowe’s flavour, about us being cultists worshipping darkness, before I claimed Pixie or Ravenkeeper. Despite our engagement regarding the flavour, Pandora was less interested in trading roles. She gave me Artist and Cannibal with that same goofy tone before vanishing until the whisper broke. I made a few attempts to continue the conversation, by giving Artist question advice and how to hide it, or wishing good luck in regards to a possible Ojo (due to the Cannibal claim). After a while I ended the whisper. Why do you ask?
Not actually wishing good luck, so I’m excluding this fully.
Notably, Magnus was leaving the game and about to flip here.
Town
At EOD1, as top wagon being eliminated.
Not game relevant - excluded while looking at numbers.
A few hours before EOD3, posting for the last time (presumably going to sleep, given time zones).
Shortly after game start.
How does this look?
Summary
GOOD LUCK, EVIL LIES ON ALL SIDES. O.Kazo turned Someone into the new Grey Sister, lying when promising to turn one of their nullreads instead. (If Someone is evil, they won’t know this.) Their will has a flaw in it; Guava is nine steps down instead of eight. Bionic is the other ping.
Hippo wanted a chance to confirm that you were hearing his voice. First, his main suspicion is Joe Mama (who?); and following up on that, he thinks Brakuren is either laying a bait by cc’ing, or he’s straight-up evil if he keeps it (although it’s worth noting that the latter is less likely due to Leafia spew. Yes, she’s still claiming to be good in the graveyard because of you. No, we don’t believe her.)
Hippo didn’t purify Frost because he was scared of the Sorc’s “Dark Portal” power. He softed Exo before he claimed; see posts #2553 and #2909 together. Someone could only plausibly see this if Hippo told them directly.
Kill Guava for the erratic Leafia read, SDA’s check is fine. Ritual Frost tomorrow.
In Ritual Mafia V’s dead chat, presumably a message to the living.
I’m very confused what the context here is - from what I saw of that game, Someone was town but claiming Evil? And Magnus appears to wolfread both Marshal and Bionic here. It appears this is widely wolfread people trying to coordinate a flash wagon at the last moment? And Magnus is wishing good luck to people they believe are evil?
Excluding this from the non-numerical analysis for brevity and clarity, but it does in fact fit the pattern detailed there - Magnus is leaving Someone/Bionic/Marshal to their own devices in this attempt.
Game with Conversion (Starts as town, becomes wolf)
Above post noted in explanation; also near SOD1
I am the Spy. Here’s the full grimoire and everyone’s character, with minor alterations to hide my Demon.
Good luck good team. I was the Psychopath with the Spy’s ability all along.
Near SOD1
–Magnus gets converted to evil between here
Above is not game relevant, so this is excluded while looking at numbers.
Initially, I saw the first post in the Mafia spoiler, and thought I might’ve found a hard tell, but overall uses of ‘Good luck’ are 7 town, and 5 mafia (excluding the ones that are noted as exclusions in the spoiler). If we look only at posts where Magnus is seriously addressing either townies or everyone (which is what’s most relevant here), we see 4 or 5 as town (depending on whether one counts the noted post in the Conversion game as a joke), and 4 as wolf.
So overall, this is a wolftell. But the numbers don’t really tell the full story here. Across all games , every time Magnus wishes someone good luck, one of the following is true:
Magnus is saying ‘Good luck’ at the start of the game
Magnus is saying it as a joke
Magnus is in some way separated from those they are wishing good luck to
This last one is important. In most of these cases, it is Magnus leaving thread, either temporarily (sleeping / going offline / eod) or permanently (being executed). In the case of the non-game related posts, it is Magnus leaving (in some sense) the people they’re talking to:
Here, Magnus is leaving Rajidae to go to her date herself.
Here, although Magnus and Silviu will continue talking in thread, it is not about this. Magnus is leaving Silviu when it comes to helping with this game.
And it makes sense, intuitively. If you talk to someone who’s about to embark on some challenge, and then let them go on their way, yes, you would likely wish them good luck. If, on the other hand, you continue helping them, there is no need for that.
Now, consider this game.
Magnus is leaving Tutuu to his own efforts in reading Leafia. As you can see, neither Magnus nor Tutuu was leaving thread at the time of this post. If Magnus is town, then - especially since they listed Leafia as someone easy to read - they would not be leaving Tutuu to their own abilities here.
Now, I will give Magnus a more detailed review tomorrow - it pays to be thorough, and I do have some doubts. But until then, VOTE: Magnus . Good night… and good luck.