Especially when you are very open being the Tracker.
I canât imagine a world were mafia wouldnât use Ambusher to factional, when there is a Tracker in their footstep.
So either mafia has an Ambusher, and Hippo is likely to be framed.
Or we donât have an Ambusher, and mafia used a forger cleverly to make us believe otherwhise, and make the PRs fight among themselves for the last RT slot. (Which probably isnât the last, if icet was a simple cit.)
Or Eliza is lying.
The only realistic thing I can surmise from it, that none of this world implies a Wazza/Hippo mafia team.
There is almost no way mafia would Ambush the TK candidate.
I donât really think that Magnus waa highly townread, so TP probably would not be on him. Ambusher donât really care about TI-s which checks their kill. And if they thought Magnus might be TK, no one else could attack them instead of the mafia.
Iâm stupid.
If mafia believed Magnus is Firebrand. There is a chance a consort being on them.
i dont think it was ever âconfirmedâ for say.
not sure i am following the logic here
oh fair enough
Iâll get back to this message
very interesting theory. may need to iso iceT before we go ham into that
ok so from these three options you dont really have one that is âhippo is wolf teamâ unless you count the middle one as hippo is wolf. so in that case why dont you think hippo is wolf?
i guess?
Well
Eliza is lying and Hippo is wolf team is not highly exclusive from each other. (She could buss)
I was just not around realistically during D2 and D3 to give accurate reads.
Ok fair enough then i guess
Again, I believe the result or in reality - canât really afford to ignore it.
Why decide to believe Eliza got finally a break?
Itâs effectively a 1-for-1.
We kill Hippo due to Elizaâs claim early and then a second person. Kabazame maybe based off interactions with Jackal.
Tomorrow we go Eliza if itâs a lie.
It is in my believe that Eliza is one of the jackals, stopping them from attacking is optimal route so there wonât too much carnage inflicted by both evil groups
I can get by why she think Zorvo is associated because of mech reasons, but you have to understand that Eliza figured out the Jackal a long time ago.
Wazza actually make no sense in both mech and social reasonings. And you know what Eliza said?
Wazza, Chihiro, pigeon and Hippo in that order
This is important post because
This is 100 posts or less later she decide to jump in this âmislynchableâ wagon
And Itâs fine.
No its not, I want less deaths in this scenario Eevee.
Look, I get it.
People want to consider all options.
Reality is - Hippo was a PoE anyway and claim of red check on them is not making them less suspicious. Regardless of who checked them.
Plus even if we flip Eliza and see itâs mafia, does it mean Hippo is not evil? No. Factions are most likely bussing each other.
I really donât care about Eliza rn.
All you are right now giving is a way for Hippo to escape the lynch after claimed red check, which is⌠just not gonna happen if they wonât appear themselves anyway.
And I get it, Hippo is most likely mafia, 2 other mafias need to create environment for him to be able to escape it. Town also can doubt Eliza.
There is going to be a lot of derailing the situation and shadowcasting on Eliza before they enter thread.
And as much as I donât want to lynch mafia, I need him to actually show up.
read through all of iceTâs iso a few times. and ask others to follow cause my adhd misses alot. but i didnt see any hint of iceT softing or suggesting a LO. this could mean Marlunaâs theory may have some weight
But yeah, 3-man team who didnât figure out who is insider is going to shadowcast Eliza on every step to save one of them, even if incorrectly.
While in reality, Eliza check does not mean Hippo is LESS likely to be lynched than he was before it.
Which theory?
this one